AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A1 Jan 31, 2026

Guaraní Campinas

Home
VS
19:00

Ponte Preta

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Guaraní Campinas Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Ponte Preta Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 76%
Market 59%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 51%
Asian Handicap: Home -1.25
xG: 1.79 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.2 Position gap: 11 places Asian Handicap: Home -1.25
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Guaraní Campinas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Ponte Preta Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (22%) 0-0 (14%) 3-0 (13%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
Guaraní Campinas Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 26 Guaraní C… vs Portuguesa 0-1
Jan 23 Guaraní C… vs Velo Clube 0-1
Jan 18 Guaraní C… vs Santos 1-1
Jan 13 Guaraní C… vs Novorizon… 2-0
Jan 10 Guaraní C… vs Primavera… 1-1
Oct 11 Guaraní C… vs Ponte Pre… 2-0
Oct 04 Guaraní C… vs Nautico R… 1-1
Sep 27 Guaraní C… vs Brusque 3-2
Sep 21 Guaraní C… vs Brusque 1-0
Sep 13 Guaraní C… vs Nautico R… 0-2
Ponte Preta Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Ponte Pre… vs Noroeste 2-2
Jan 22 Ponte Pre… vs São Berna… 0-1
Jan 17 Ponte Pre… vs Capivaria… 2-0
Jan 15 Ponte Pre… vs Velo Clube 0-1
Jan 11 Ponte Pre… vs Corinthia… 3-0
Oct 18 Ponte Pre… vs Londrina 0-0
Oct 11 Ponte Pre… vs Guaraní C… 2-0
Oct 04 Ponte Pre… vs Brusque 2-1
Sep 27 Ponte Pre… vs Nautico R… 1-1
Sep 20 Ponte Pre… vs Nautico R… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ponte Preta struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 11, 2025 Ponte Preta 2 - 0 Guaraní Campinas Serie C
Sep 06, 2025 Guaraní Campinas 0 - 1 Ponte Preta Serie C
Aug 02, 2025 Ponte Preta 1 - 1 Guaraní Campinas Serie C
Feb 09, 2025 Ponte Preta 2 - 0 Guaraní Campinas Paulista - A1
Oct 20, 2024 Ponte Preta 0 - 1 Guaraní Campinas Serie B
Jun 30, 2024 Guaraní Campinas 1 - 1 Ponte Preta Serie B
Sep 02, 2023 Guaraní Campinas 1 - 0 Ponte Preta Serie B
May 21, 2023 Ponte Preta 1 - 1 Guaraní Campinas Serie B
Aug 20, 2022 Ponte Preta 1 - 0 Guaraní Campinas Serie B
May 08, 2022 Guaraní Campinas 0 - 0 Ponte Preta Serie B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Guaraní Campinas to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Guaraní Campinas Power 0
Ponte Preta Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Guaraní Campinas Position

+11

Position Gap

16

Ponte Preta Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.