AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A1 Feb 07, 2026

Portuguesa RJ

Home
VS
19:00

Ponte Preta

Away
AI Predictions 69.0% Confidence
Portuguesa RJ Win
69.0%
Draw
20.2%
Ponte Preta Win
10.8%
Home Win (69% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 1.67 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.2
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Portuguesa RJ Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Ponte Preta Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (15%) 3-0 (12%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
Portuguesa RJ Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Portugues… vs Tombense 1-1
Feb 01 Portugues… vs Costa Rica 2-1
Jan 31 Portugues… vs Primavera… 1-2
Jan 28 Portugues… vs Dourados … 0-1
Jan 26 Portugues… vs Madureira… 0-2
Jan 26 Portugues… vs Guaraní C… 0-1
Jan 24 Portugues… vs Águia Neg… 1-2
Jan 22 Portugues… vs Boavista 3-2
Jan 21 Portugues… vs São Paulo… 2-3
Jan 18 Portugues… vs Maringá 0-1
Ponte Preta Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Ponte Pre… vs Guaraní C… 1-0
Jan 24 Ponte Pre… vs Oeste 2-2
Jan 22 Ponte Pre… vs São Berna… 0-1
Jan 17 Ponte Pre… vs Capivaria… 2-0
Jan 15 Ponte Pre… vs Velo Clube 0-1
Jan 11 Ponte Pre… vs Coritiba 3-0
Oct 18 Ponte Pre… vs Londrina 0-0
Oct 11 Ponte Pre… vs Guaraní C… 2-0
Oct 04 Ponte Pre… vs Brusque 2-1
Sep 27 Ponte Pre… vs Nautico R… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Portuguesa RJ in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Ponte Preta struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 22, 2025 Ponte Preta 0 - 0 Portuguesa RJ Paulista - A1
Jan 31, 2024 Portuguesa RJ 0 - 2 Ponte Preta Paulista - A1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Portuguesa RJ to win (35% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 35% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Portuguesa RJ Power 0
Ponte Preta Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.