AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Premier Serie A Feb 07, 2026

Deportiva Venados

Home
VS
21:30

Celaya

Away
AI Predictions 47.6% Confidence
Deportiva Venados Win
23.0%
Draw
29.4%
Celaya Win
47.6%
Away Win (48% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 36% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 0.30 - 1.70
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportiva Venados Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Celaya Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (23%) 0-2 (20%) 0-0 (14%) 0-3 (11%) 1-1 (7%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Deportiva Venados Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Deportiva… vs CDM 1-2
Jan 31 Deportiva… vs Chapuline… 1-1
Jan 27 Deportiva… vs Aguacater… 2-3
Jan 24 Deportiva… vs Racing Po… 0-2
Jan 18 Deportiva… vs Artesanos… 0-1
Jan 17 Deportiva… vs Tapachula 2-3
Jan 11 Deportiva… vs Caja Obla… 0-4
Nov 21 Deportiva… vs Neza 1-5
Nov 18 Deportiva… vs Poza Rica 2-0
Nov 15 Deportiva… vs FC Racing 1-0
Celaya Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Celaya vs Neza 6-0
Jan 24 Celaya vs Mexicali … 0-2
Jan 18 Celaya vs Cañoneros… 3-0
Jan 10 Celaya vs Pioneros … 0-2
Nov 23 Celaya vs Jaguares … 0-1
Nov 16 Celaya vs Montañeses 1-0
Nov 08 Celaya vs Inter Pla… 0-2
Oct 26 Celaya vs Héroes de… 4-0
Oct 11 Celaya vs Chapuline… 0-0
Oct 05 Celaya vs Racing Po… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Celaya in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
  • Deportiva Venados struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 21, 2025 Celaya 1 - 2 Deportiva Venados Liga Premier S…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Deportiva Venados to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Deportiva Venados Power 0
Celaya Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Deportiva Venados Position

-1

Position Gap

2

Celaya Position
Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.