AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Premier Serie A Feb 08, 2026

Tapachula

Home
VS
01:00

Chapulineros

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Tapachula Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Chapulineros Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 3.46 - 2.06
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 2.1
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tapachula Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Chapulineros Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-2 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 3-3 (4%) 2-3 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Under 2.5 Goals 24%
Tapachula Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Tapachula vs Racing Po… 2-1
Jan 17 Tapachula vs Deportiva… 2-3
Jan 11 Tapachula vs Neza 1-4
Nov 22 Tapachula vs Mexicali … 2-4
Nov 16 Tapachula vs Cañoneros… 6-0
Nov 08 Tapachula vs Pioneros … 4-1
Oct 26 Tapachula vs Jaguares … 1-2
Oct 19 Tapachula vs Montañeses 2-0
Oct 11 Tapachula vs Inter Pla… 2-3
Chapulineros Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Chapuline… vs Deportiva… 1-1
Jan 25 Chapuline… vs Neza 3-2
Jan 17 Chapuline… vs Mexicali … 0-0
Jan 10 Chapuline… vs Cañoneros… 1-2
Nov 22 Chapuline… vs Pioneros … 0-2
Nov 15 Chapuline… vs Jaguares … 2-2
Nov 09 Chapuline… vs Montañeses 2-1
Oct 25 Chapuline… vs Inter Pla… 3-1
Oct 18 Chapuline… vs Héroes de… 1-1
Oct 11 Chapuline… vs Celaya 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tapachula in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tapachula Power 0
Chapulineros Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Tapachula Position

+2

Position Gap

10

Chapulineros Position
Home Win Rate: 43%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.