AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Premier Serie A Feb 08, 2026

Real Apodaca

Home
VS
21:30

Chilpancingo

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Real Apodaca Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Chilpancingo Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 66% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 2.58 - 0.29
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.3 Position gap: 9 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Apodaca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Chilpancingo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
75%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%) 3-0 (16%) 1-0 (15%) 0-0 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 3-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
Real Apodaca Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Real Apod… vs FC Santia… 3-0
Jan 25 Real Apod… vs Zacatepec… 1-0
Jan 17 Real Apod… vs Sporting … 2-2
Jan 11 Real Apod… vs Ciervos 2-0
Nov 22 Real Apod… vs Correcami… 1-0
Nov 16 Real Apod… vs Calor de … 1-2
Nov 09 Real Apod… vs Zitacuaro 3-2
Oct 24 Real Apod… vs Atletico … 0-2
Oct 19 Real Apod… vs Cordobés 3-1
Oct 11 Real Apod… vs Deportivo… 0-1
Chilpancingo Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Chilpanci… vs Gavilanes… 2-1
Jan 24 Chilpanci… vs FC Santia… 1-1
Jan 17 Chilpanci… vs Zacatepec… 1-1
Jan 10 Chilpanci… vs Sporting … 5-2
Nov 22 Chilpanci… vs Ciervos 1-1
Nov 14 Chilpanci… vs Correcami… 0-0
Nov 08 Chilpanci… vs Calor de … 1-1
Oct 25 Chilpanci… vs Zitacuaro 1-1
Oct 18 Chilpanci… vs Atletico … 3-1
Oct 11 Chilpanci… vs Cordobés 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Apodaca in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 20, 2025 Chilpancingo 0 - 3 Real Apodaca Liga Premier S…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Real Apodaca to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Real Apodaca Power 0
Chilpancingo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Real Apodaca Position

+9

Position Gap

10

Chilpancingo Position
Home Win Rate: 89%
Away Win Rate: 13%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.