AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Feb 06, 2026

Wellington Phoenix Women

Home
VS
03:00

Perth Glory Women

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Wellington Phoenix Women Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Perth Glory Women Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 14%
xG: 4.50 - 0.24
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Wellington Phoenix Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Perth Glory Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
79%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Wellington Phoenix Women Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Wellingto… vs Newcastle… 1-5
Jan 25 Wellingto… vs Adelaide … 3-1
Jan 17 Wellingto… vs Canberra … 0-2
Jan 10 Wellingto… vs Melbourne… 1-2
Jan 03 Wellingto… vs Brisbane … 2-2
Dec 30 Wellingto… vs Western S… 0-3
Dec 20 Wellingto… vs Sydney FC… 7-0
Dec 12 Wellingto… vs Perth Glo… 1-0
Dec 07 Wellingto… vs Melbourne… 1-0
Nov 23 Wellingto… vs Melbourne… 1-0
Perth Glory Women Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 Perth Glo… vs Sydney FC… 0-0
Jan 24 Perth Glo… vs Melbourne… 0-2
Jan 18 Perth Glo… vs Central C… 1-1
Jan 09 Perth Glo… vs Western S… 3-1
Jan 03 Perth Glo… vs Newcastle… 1-0
Dec 28 Perth Glo… vs Melbourne… 3-1
Dec 21 Perth Glo… vs Adelaide … 1-0
Dec 12 Perth Glo… vs Wellingto… 1-0
Nov 30 Perth Glo… vs Melbourne… 3-0
Nov 22 Perth Glo… vs Canberra … 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Wellington Phoenix Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 12, 2025 Perth Glory Women 1 - 0 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Feb 16, 2025 Perth Glory Women 2 - 1 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Jan 04, 2025 Wellington Phoenix … 2 - 0 Perth Glory Women W-League
Mar 08, 2024 Perth Glory Women 1 - 3 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Nov 25, 2023 Wellington Phoenix … 2 - 1 Perth Glory Women W-League
Mar 18, 2023 Wellington Phoenix … 0 - 1 Perth Glory Women W-League
Jan 15, 2023 Perth Glory Women 2 - 0 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Mar 04, 2022 Wellington Phoenix … 1 - 3 Perth Glory Women W-League
Jan 31, 2022 Perth Glory Women 3 - 2 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Wellington Phoenix Women to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Wellington Phoenix Women Power 0
Perth Glory Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Wellington Phoenix Women Position

+5

Position Gap

8

Perth Glory Women Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 17%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.