AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga 1 Feb 08, 2026

Semen Padang

Home
VS
08:30

Persita

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Semen Padang Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Persita Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 3.04 - 0.35
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.3
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Semen Padang Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Persita Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (16%) 2-0 (16%) 1-0 (10%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 28%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Semen Padang Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Semen Pad… vs PSM Makas… 0-0
Jan 24 Semen Pad… vs Bali Unit… 3-3
Jan 11 Semen Pad… vs Persis So… 2-3
Jan 04 Semen Pad… vs PSIM Yogy… 1-0
Dec 28 Semen Pad… vs Persepam … 5-1
Dec 22 Semen Pad… vs Persija J… 1-0
Nov 27 Semen Pad… vs Persik Ke… 2-1
Nov 20 Semen Pad… vs Persita 1-2
Nov 09 Semen Pad… vs Pusamania… 0-2
Nov 03 Semen Pad… vs Arema FC 1-2
Persita Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Persita vs Arema FC 1-0
Jan 31 Persita vs Persela L… 1-3
Jan 30 Persita vs Persija J… 0-2
Jan 25 Persita vs Deltras 3-1
Jan 24 Persita vs Bhayangka… 1-1
Jan 24 Persita vs PSM Makas… 2-0
Jan 19 Persita vs Tornado P… 4-0
Jan 12 Persita vs Dewa Unit… 0-3
Jan 12 Persita vs Persiku K… 1-4
Jan 09 Persita vs Pusamania… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Semen Padang struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Persita struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 20, 2025 Persita 1 - 2 Semen Padang Liga 1
Oct 04, 2025 Persita 2 - 0 Semen Padang Liga 1
Feb 14, 2025 Semen Padang 2 - 0 Persita Liga 1
Sep 22, 2024 Persita 1 - 0 Semen Padang Liga 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Semen Padang Power 0
Persita Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

16

Semen Padang Position

-10

Position Gap

6

Persita Position
Home Win Rate: 22%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.