AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligat Ha'al Feb 09, 2026

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Home
VS
18:30

Beitar Jerusalem

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Hapoel Beer Sheva Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Beitar Jerusalem Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 63%
Standings 49%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 1.47 - 1.16
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hapoel Beer Sheva Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Beitar Jerusalem Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Hapoel Beer Sheva Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi B… 0-3
Jan 31 Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi T… 0-2
Jan 24 Hapoel Be… vs Ironi Kir… 3-2
Jan 19 Hapoel Be… vs Hapoel Te… 2-1
Jan 13 Hapoel Be… vs Hapoel Ka… 2-1
Jan 10 Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi H… 0-0
Jan 03 Hapoel Be… vs Bnei Sakh… 0-5
Dec 31 Hapoel Be… vs Hapoel Ka… 4-1
Dec 27 Hapoel Be… vs Hapoel Sd… 2-1
Dec 20 Hapoel Be… vs Ironi Tib… 3-0
Beitar Jerusalem Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Beitar Je… vs Bnei Yehu… 1-2
Jan 31 Beitar Je… vs Hapoel Ha… 2-2
Jan 25 Beitar Je… vs Ashdod 1-1
Jan 17 Beitar Je… vs Hapoel Pe… 1-3
Jan 14 Beitar Je… vs Ironi Kir… 0-2
Jan 10 Beitar Je… vs Maccabi T… 1-0
Jan 04 Beitar Je… vs Ironi Kir… 1-2
Jan 01 Beitar Je… vs Hapoel Te… 1-0
Dec 27 Beitar Je… vs Ironi Tib… 1-2
Dec 22 Beitar Je… vs Maccabi H… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Hapoel Beer Sheva in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 03, 2025 Beitar Jerusalem 0 - 1 Hapoel Beer Sheva Ligat Ha'al
May 29, 2025 Beitar Jerusalem 0 - 2 Hapoel Beer Sheva State Cup
May 19, 2025 Beitar Jerusalem 1 - 1 Hapoel Beer Sheva Ligat Ha'al
Apr 14, 2025 Hapoel Beer Sheva 3 - 1 Beitar Jerusalem Ligat Ha'al
Mar 10, 2025 Beitar Jerusalem 1 - 1 Hapoel Beer Sheva Ligat Ha'al
Dec 09, 2024 Hapoel Beer Sheva 4 - 1 Beitar Jerusalem Ligat Ha'al
Mar 04, 2024 Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 - 0 Beitar Jerusalem Ligat Ha'al
Jan 27, 2024 Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 - 0 Beitar Jerusalem State Cup
Dec 23, 2023 Beitar Jerusalem 4 - 4 Hapoel Beer Sheva Ligat Ha'al
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Hapoel Beer Sheva to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hapoel Beer Sheva Power 0
Beitar Jerusalem Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Hapoel Beer Sheva Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Beitar Jerusalem Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 89%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.