First Division · Feb 08, 2026 14:00

Apoel Nicosia
PWR 35
0-1
predicted

AEK Larnaca
PWR 35
41% H 26% D 33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: AEK Larnaca to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (26%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (16%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 10.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Apoel Nicosia Form LWDLW
STABLE
AEK Larnaca Form WWWLL
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.527%
BTTS15%
Under 2.573%
Apoel Nicos… Goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
AEK Larnaca Goals
0
81%
1
17%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Apoel Nicosia
vs
0.21
AEK Larnaca
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum85%
Standings42%
Market50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Apoel Nicos…
-4
Gap
#2
AEK Larnaca
WR 50% 36 pts WR 60% 43 pts
Apoel Nicosia 10.0%
Feb 04 Apoel N… v Pafos FC 2-0
Jan 31 Apoel N… v Olympia… 0-2
Jan 23 Apoel N… v Omonia … 1-1
Jan 18 Apoel N… v Apollon… 2-1
Jan 10 Apoel N… v Akritas 2-1
Jan 07 Apoel N… v APEA 1-0
Jan 03 Apoel N… v Enosis 3-0
Dec 13 Apoel N… v Digenis… 0-0
Dec 07 Apoel N… v Aris 2-0
Nov 29 Apoel N… v Anortho… 1-1
AEK Larnaca 12.0%
Jan 31 AEK Lar… v Enosis 5-0
Jan 25 AEK Lar… v Pafos FC 1-2
Jan 18 AEK Lar… v Digenis… 2-1
Jan 14 AEK Lar… v Omonia … 2-1
Jan 10 AEK Lar… v Aris 1-0
Jan 04 AEK Lar… v Anortho… 4-0
Dec 22 AEK Lar… v AEL 0-1
Dec 15 AEK Lar… v Omonia … 1-1
Dec 11 AEK Lar… v BK Häck… 1-1
Dec 06 AEK Lar… v Ethniko… 2-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Oct 27, 2025 AEK Larnaca 1-1 Apoel Nicosia
May 04, 2025 AEK Larnaca 3-0 Apoel Nicosia
Apr 02, 2025 Apoel Nicosia 0-1 AEK Larnaca
Jan 20, 2025 AEK Larnaca 2-1 Apoel Nicosia
Oct 06, 2024 Apoel Nicosia 0-1 AEK Larnaca
Jul 17, 2024 AEK Larnaca 0-0 Apoel Nicosia
May 11, 2024 Apoel Nicosia 1-1 AEK Larnaca
Mar 31, 2024 AEK Larnaca 1-2 Apoel Nicosia
Feb 05, 2024 Apoel Nicosia 2-2 AEK Larnaca
Nov 05, 2023 AEK Larnaca 0-3 Apoel Nicosia
Key Factors
AEK Larnaca in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.