AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1. Lig Feb 08, 2026

Ümraniyespor

Home
VS
13:00

İstanbulspor

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Ümraniyespor Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
İstanbulspor Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 3.73 - 1.00
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 1.0
Score Prediction Analysis
Ümraniyespor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
İstanbulspor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 3-2 (4%) 1-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
Ümraniyespor Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Ümraniyes… vs Erokspor 1-0
Jan 25 Ümraniyes… vs Hatayspor 0-2
Jan 18 Ümraniyes… vs Serik Bel… 5-0
Jan 12 Ümraniyes… vs Manisa FK 1-0
Dec 28 Ümraniyes… vs Keçiöreng… 3-1
Dec 21 Ümraniyes… vs Adana Dem… 5-0
Dec 14 Ümraniyes… vs Van BB 0-1
Dec 06 Ümraniyes… vs Amed 3-4
Nov 29 Ümraniyes… vs Sakaryasp… 1-1
Nov 23 Ümraniyes… vs BB Bodrum… 1-0
İstanbulspor Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 İstanbuls… vs Galatasar… 3-1
Jan 30 İstanbuls… vs Hatayspor 1-0
Jan 25 İstanbuls… vs Manisa FK 1-0
Jan 19 İstanbuls… vs Keçiöreng… 2-2
Jan 14 İstanbuls… vs Trabzonsp… 1-6
Jan 10 İstanbuls… vs Serik Bel… 0-3
Dec 29 İstanbuls… vs Adana Dem… 1-5
Dec 21 İstanbuls… vs Van BB 1-3
Dec 17 İstanbuls… vs Fatih Kar… 0-0
Dec 13 İstanbuls… vs Sarıyer 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ümraniyespor struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • İstanbulspor struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 13, 2025 İstanbulspor 4 - 0 Ümraniyespor 1. Lig
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ümraniyespor Power 0
İstanbulspor Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

Ümraniyespor Position

-2

Position Gap

13

İstanbulspor Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.