AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eerste Divisie Feb 06, 2026

MVV Maastricht

Home
VS
19:00

Jong PSV

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
MVV Maastricht Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Jong PSV Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 2.40 - 1.28
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 1.3
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
MVV Maastricht Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Jong PSV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 1-0 (6%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
MVV Maastricht Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 MVV Maast… vs Almere Ci… 1-1
Jan 30 MVV Maast… vs FC Eindho… 5-0
Jan 23 MVV Maast… vs Jong Utre… 2-2
Jan 18 MVV Maast… vs Den Bosch 1-2
Dec 19 MVV Maast… vs Cambuur 4-0
Dec 12 MVV Maast… vs Jong Ajax 2-1
Dec 05 MVV Maast… vs Helmond S… 2-4
Nov 30 MVV Maast… vs Roda 0-0
Nov 25 MVV Maast… vs Waalwijk 1-0
Nov 21 MVV Maast… vs Jong AZ 1-3
Jong PSV Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Jong PSV vs Cambuur 3-2
Jan 26 Jong PSV vs Helmond S… 4-0
Jan 22 Jong PSV vs Southampt… 1-3
Jan 19 Jong PSV vs Jong Utre… 5-3
Dec 19 Jong PSV vs ADO Den H… 1-2
Dec 15 Jong PSV vs Everton U… 3-2
Dec 12 Jong PSV vs Almere Ci… 2-3
Dec 05 Jong PSV vs FC Eindho… 4-0
Dec 01 Jong PSV vs Waalwijk 3-1
Nov 25 Jong PSV vs Vitesse 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Jong PSV in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 29, 2025 Jong PSV 2 - 2 MVV Maastricht Eerste Divisie
Apr 14, 2025 Jong PSV 3 - 2 MVV Maastricht Eerste Divisie
Aug 30, 2024 MVV Maastricht 3 - 2 Jong PSV Eerste Divisie
Feb 19, 2024 MVV Maastricht 3 - 3 Jong PSV Eerste Divisie
Oct 06, 2023 Jong PSV 2 - 3 MVV Maastricht Eerste Divisie
Apr 24, 2023 Jong PSV 0 - 1 MVV Maastricht Eerste Divisie
Oct 14, 2022 MVV Maastricht 1 - 1 Jong PSV Eerste Divisie
Apr 25, 2022 Jong PSV 2 - 2 MVV Maastricht Eerste Divisie
Nov 26, 2021 MVV Maastricht 1 - 2 Jong PSV Eerste Divisie
Apr 05, 2021 Jong PSV 3 - 1 MVV Maastricht Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
MVV Maastricht Power 0
Jong PSV Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

MVV Maastricht Position

-15

Position Gap

3

Jong PSV Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 42%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.