AI Match Insights

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Premier League 2 Division One Feb 06, 2026

Brighton U21

Home
VS
19:00

Sunderland U21

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Brighton U21 Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Sunderland U21 Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 68%
Market 61%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 42%
Asian Handicap: Home -1.25
xG: 1.65 - 0.77
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.8 Asian Handicap: Home -1.25
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Brighton U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Sunderland U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (9%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%
Brighton U21 Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Brighton … vs Liverpool… 0-1
Jan 26 Brighton … vs Mancheste… 1-1
Jan 20 Brighton … vs Dinamo Za… 2-0
Jan 16 Brighton … vs Southampt… 1-0
Dec 14 Brighton … vs Paris Sai… 2-2
Dec 10 Brighton … vs Real Soci… 1-2
Nov 25 Brighton … vs Woking 1-1
Nov 21 Brighton … vs Benfica 1-1
Nov 09 Brighton … vs Mancheste… 2-0
Nov 05 Brighton … vs Cambridge… 1-0
Sunderland U21 Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Sunderlan… vs Leicester… 3-2
Jan 26 Sunderlan… vs Wolves U21 2-2
Jan 21 Sunderlan… vs Borussia … 1-3
Jan 16 Sunderlan… vs Newcastle… 1-1
Dec 22 Sunderlan… vs Colcheste… 4-2
Dec 12 Sunderlan… vs Norwich C… 1-1
Dec 06 Sunderlan… vs Mancheste… 1-2
Dec 01 Sunderlan… vs Bromley U… 4-0
Nov 25 Sunderlan… vs FC Halifa… 1-1
Nov 20 Sunderlan… vs Sporting … 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 01, 2024 Sunderland U21 1 - 1 Brighton U21 Premier League…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Brighton U21 to win (50% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 50% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Brighton U21 Power 41
Sunderland U21 Power 34
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Brighton U21 Position

+4

Position Gap

21

Sunderland U21 Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.