Eredivisie · Feb 06, 2026 19:00
NAC Breda
PWR 35
Excelsior
PWR 35
NAC Breda
PWR 35
0 - 2
FT
Excelsior
PWR 35
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (11%)
1-1 (11%)
2-0 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
0-0 (6%)
0-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 2% = high draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (34.1%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
NAC Breda Form
DDLDL
STABLE
Excelsior Form
DDDDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.551%
BTTS52%
Under 2.549%
NAC Breda Goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Excelsior Goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
NAC Bredavs
0.99
ExcelsiorDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum71%
Standings34%
Market57%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#18
NAC Breda-8
Gap#10
Excelsior
WR 25% 16 pts
WR 27% 26 pts
NAC Breda
6.0%
| Jan 30 | NAC Bre… v FC Twen… | 2-2 |
| Jan 24 | NAC Bre… v PSV Ein… | 2-2 |
| Jan 17 | NAC Bre… v NEC Nij… | 3-4 |
| Jan 10 | NAC Bre… v Groning… | 0-0 |
| Dec 20 | NAC Bre… v Telstar | 0-1 |
| Dec 14 | NAC Bre… v Utrecht | 1-1 |
| Dec 07 | NAC Bre… v Sparta … | 1-0 |
| Nov 29 | NAC Bre… v Excelsi… | 1-0 |
| Nov 22 | NAC Bre… v PSV Ein… | 0-1 |
| Nov 08 | NAC Bre… v FC Vole… | 2-1 |
Excelsior
8.0%
| Feb 01 | Excelsi… v Ajax | 2-2 |
| Jan 24 | Excelsi… v FC Twen… | 0-0 |
| Jan 21 | Excelsi… v AZ Alkm… | 1-1 |
| Jan 17 | Excelsi… v Telstar | 2-2 |
| Jan 10 | Excelsi… v PSV Ein… | 5-1 |
| Dec 20 | Excelsi… v PEC Zwo… | 2-1 |
| Dec 05 | Excelsi… v Groning… | 0-2 |
| Nov 29 | Excelsi… v NAC Bre… | 1-0 |
| Nov 22 | Excelsi… v Ajax | 1-2 |
| Nov 08 | Excelsi… v Heracles | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Nov 29, 2025 | Excelsior | 1-0 | NAC Breda |
| Jul 20, 2024 | NAC Breda | 1-1 | Excelsior |
| Jun 02, 2024 | Excelsior | 4-1 | NAC Breda |
| May 28, 2024 | NAC Breda | 6-2 | Excelsior |
| Jul 22, 2023 | NAC Breda | 2-0 | Excelsior |
| May 06, 2022 | Excelsior | 2-2 | NAC Breda |
| Oct 01, 2021 | NAC Breda | 4-1 | Excelsior |
| Apr 23, 2021 | NAC Breda | 1-2 | Excelsior |
| Jan 03, 2021 | Excelsior | 0-3 | NAC Breda |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.