AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eredivisie Feb 07, 2026

NEC Nijmegen

Home
VS
15:30

Heracles

Away
AI Predictions 67.0% Confidence
NEC Nijmegen Win
67.0%
Draw
20.6%
Heracles Win
12.4%
Home Win (67% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 90%
Market 50%
Combined: 68% Draw Risk: 6%
xG: 4.33 - 0.85
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.3 vs 0.8 Position gap: 13 places
Score Prediction Analysis
NEC Nijmegen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
Heracles Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
NEC Nijmegen Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 NEC Nijme… vs FC Volend… 1-0
Jan 31 NEC Nijme… vs AZ Alkmaar 1-3
Jan 24 NEC Nijme… vs PEC Zwolle 2-1
Jan 20 NEC Nijme… vs De Treffe… 1-2
Jan 17 NEC Nijme… vs NAC Breda 3-4
Dec 20 NEC Nijme… vs Ajax 2-2
Dec 16 NEC Nijme… vs AFC Amste… 1-3
Dec 13 NEC Nijme… vs Telstar 2-2
Dec 07 NEC Nijme… vs FC Volend… 2-3
Nov 29 NEC Nijme… vs Sparta Ro… 3-1
Heracles Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Heracles vs Fortuna S… 2-1
Jan 25 Heracles vs Feyenoord 4-2
Jan 18 Heracles vs FC Twente 0-2
Jan 14 Heracles vs GO Ahead … 2-2
Jan 11 Heracles vs Sparta Ro… 2-0
Dec 20 Heracles vs Heerenveen 0-3
Dec 16 Heracles vs Hoogeveen 4-1
Dec 13 Heracles vs PSV Eindh… 4-3
Dec 06 Heracles vs Telstar 1-1
Nov 29 Heracles vs Fortuna S… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • NEC Nijmegen in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
  • Heracles struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 16, 2025 Heracles 1 - 4 NEC Nijmegen Eredivisie
May 18, 2025 Heracles 1 - 2 NEC Nijmegen Eredivisie
Dec 18, 2024 Heracles 1 - 0 NEC Nijmegen KNVB Beker
Sep 21, 2024 NEC Nijmegen 1 - 2 Heracles Eredivisie
Feb 03, 2024 NEC Nijmegen 3 - 1 Heracles Eredivisie
Aug 18, 2023 Heracles 2 - 1 NEC Nijmegen Eredivisie
Jul 29, 2022 Heracles 1 - 3 NEC Nijmegen Friendlies Clu…
Jan 15, 2022 NEC Nijmegen 0 - 0 Heracles Eredivisie
Aug 29, 2021 Heracles 0 - 1 NEC Nijmegen Eredivisie
Jul 24, 2021 Heracles 0 - 1 NEC Nijmegen Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: NEC Nijmegen to win (35% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 35% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
NEC Nijmegen Power 0
Heracles Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

NEC Nijmegen Position

+13

Position Gap

16

Heracles Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.