Bundesliga · Feb 07, 2026 14:30
FSV Mainz 05
PWR 43
FC Augsburg
PWR 28
FSV Mainz 05
PWR 43
2 - 0
FT
FC Augsburg
PWR 28
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (20%)
1-0 (17%)
3-0 (15%)
0-0 (7%)
2-1 (6%)
1-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)ā ļø Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probabilityš” PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 7.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack45
Defense78
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.8
Attack36
Defense45
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.9
FSV Mainz 05 Form
WWLWD
STABLE
FC Augsburg Form
WWDDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.545%
BTTS23%
Under 2.555%
FSV Mainz 05 Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
FC Augsburg Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
FSV Mainz 05vs
0.30
FC AugsburgDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#14
FSV Mainz 05-1
Gap#13
FC Augsburg
WR 27% 21 pts
WR 20% 22 pts
FSV Mainz 05
14.0%
| Jan 31 | FSV Maiā¦ v RB Leipā¦ | 1-2 |
| Jan 24 | FSV Maiā¦ v VfL Wolā¦ | 3-1 |
| Jan 17 | FSV Maiā¦ v FC Koln | 2-1 |
| Jan 13 | FSV Maiā¦ v FC Heidā¦ | 2-1 |
| Jan 10 | FSV Maiā¦ v Union Bā¦ | 2-2 |
| Dec 21 | FSV Maiā¦ v FC St. ā¦ | 0-0 |
| Dec 14 | FSV Maiā¦ v Bayern ā¦ | 2-2 |
| Dec 11 | FSV Maiā¦ v Lech Poā¦ | 1-1 |
| Dec 05 | FSV Maiā¦ v Borussiā¦ | 0-1 |
| Nov 30 | FSV Maiā¦ v SC Freiā¦ | 4-0 |
FC Augsburg
12.0%
| Jan 31 | FC Augsā¦ v FC St. ā¦ | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | FC Augsā¦ v Bayern ā¦ | 1-2 |
| Jan 18 | FC Augsā¦ v SC Freiā¦ | 2-2 |
| Jan 15 | FC Augsā¦ v Union Bā¦ | 1-1 |
| Jan 11 | FC Augsā¦ v Borussiā¦ | 4-0 |
| Jan 06 | FC Augsā¦ v FC Wintā¦ | 2-1 |
| Dec 20 | FC Augsā¦ v Werder ā¦ | 0-0 |
| Dec 13 | FC Augsā¦ v Eintracā¦ | 1-0 |
| Dec 06 | FC Augsā¦ v Bayer Lā¦ | 2-0 |
| Dec 02 | FC Augsā¦ v RB Leipā¦ | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Sep 20, 2025 | FC Augsburg | 1-4 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| Feb 08, 2025 | FSV Mainz 05 | 0-0 | FC Augsburg |
| Sep 20, 2024 | FC Augsburg | 2-3 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| Feb 17, 2024 | FSV Mainz 05 | 1-0 | FC Augsburg |
| Sep 23, 2023 | FC Augsburg | 2-1 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| Feb 11, 2023 | FSV Mainz 05 | 3-1 | FC Augsburg |
| Aug 20, 2022 | FC Augsburg | 1-2 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| Apr 06, 2022 | FC Augsburg | 2-1 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| Oct 22, 2021 | FSV Mainz 05 | 4-1 | FC Augsburg |
| Feb 28, 2021 | FSV Mainz 05 | 0-1 | FC Augsburg |
Key Factors
FSV Mainz 05 in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.