AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA Cup Jan 12, 2026

Liverpool

Home
VS
19:45

Burnley

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Liverpool Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Burnley Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
ODDS60+M70 (77.4%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 50%
Market 98%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 45%
Asian Handicap: Home -2
xG: 1.66 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.2 Market confidence: 83% Asian Handicap: Home -2
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Liverpool Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Burnley Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (16%) 3-0 (12%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
Liverpool Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 08 Liverpool vs Arsenal 0-0
Jan 04 Liverpool vs Fulham 2-2
Jan 01 Liverpool vs Leeds 0-0
Dec 27 Liverpool vs Wolves 2-1
Dec 20 Liverpool vs Tottenham 1-2
Dec 13 Liverpool vs Brighton 2-0
Dec 09 Liverpool vs Inter 0-1
Dec 06 Liverpool vs Leeds 3-3
Dec 03 Liverpool vs Sunderland 1-1
Nov 30 Liverpool vs West Ham 0-2
Burnley Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 10 Burnley vs Millwall 5-1
Jan 07 Burnley vs Mancheste… 2-2
Jan 03 Burnley vs Brighton 2-0
Jan 01 Burnley vs Wigan 1-1
Dec 30 Burnley vs Newcastle… 1-3
Dec 29 Burnley vs Lincoln 0-2
Dec 27 Burnley vs Everton 0-0
Dec 26 Burnley vs Mansfield… 2-3
Dec 20 Burnley vs Exeter Ci… 3-0
Dec 20 Burnley vs Bournemou… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 14, 2025 Burnley 0 - 1 Liverpool Premier League
Feb 10, 2024 Liverpool 3 - 1 Burnley Premier League
Feb 10, 2024 Liverpool 3 - 1 Burnley Pro League
Dec 26, 2023 Burnley 0 - 2 Liverpool Premier League
Dec 26, 2023 Burnley 0 - 2 Liverpool Pro League
Feb 13, 2022 Burnley 0 - 1 Liverpool Premier League
Aug 21, 2021 Liverpool 2 - 0 Burnley Premier League
May 19, 2021 Burnley 0 - 3 Liverpool Premier League
Jan 21, 2021 Liverpool 0 - 1 Burnley Premier League
Jul 11, 2020 Liverpool 1 - 1 Burnley Premier League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Liverpool to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Liverpool Power 38
Burnley Power 25
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.