AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
La Liga Feb 08, 2026

Alavés

Home
VS
13:00

Getafe

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Alavés Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Getafe Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 3.43 - 0.71
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 0.7 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Alavés Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Getafe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Alavés Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Alavés vs Real Soci… 2-3
Jan 30 Alavés vs Espanyol 1-2
Jan 25 Alavés vs Real Betis 2-1
Jan 18 Alavés vs Atlético … 1-0
Jan 14 Alavés vs Rayo Vall… 2-0
Jan 10 Alavés vs Villarreal 3-1
Jan 04 Alavés vs Oviedo 1-1
Dec 20 Alavés vs Osasuna 3-0
Dec 17 Alavés vs Sevilla FC 1-0
Dec 14 Alavés vs Real Madr… 1-2
Getafe Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Getafe vs Celta de … 0-0
Jan 26 Getafe vs Girona 1-1
Jan 18 Getafe vs Valencia 0-1
Jan 09 Getafe vs Real Soci… 1-2
Jan 02 Getafe vs Rayo Vall… 1-1
Dec 21 Getafe vs Real Betis 4-0
Dec 18 Getafe vs Burgos 3-1
Dec 13 Getafe vs Espanyol 0-1
Dec 06 Getafe vs Villarreal 2-0
Dec 02 Getafe vs Navalcarn… 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • AlavĂ©s in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 24, 2025 Getafe 1 - 1 Alavés La Liga
Feb 09, 2025 Alavés 0 - 1 Getafe La Liga
Sep 28, 2024 Getafe 2 - 0 Alavés Pro League
May 18, 2024 Alavés 1 - 0 Getafe Pro League
May 18, 2024 Alavés 1 - 0 Getafe La Liga
Final Verdict

PRO: Alavés to win (70% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 70% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Alavés Power 32
Getafe Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Alavés Position

+7

Position Gap

17

Getafe Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.