AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pernambucano - 1 Jan 11, 2026

Santa Cruz FC

Home
VS
21:00

Decisão

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Santa Cruz FC Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Decisão Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 59%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 1.59 - 0.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.6
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Santa Cruz FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
Decisão Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (14%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
Santa Cruz FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 11 Santa Cru… vs Decisão 1-1
Decisão Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 04 Decisão vs Confiança 1-0
Mar 02 Decisão vs Sport Rec… 3-0
Feb 22 Decisão vs Nautico R… 1-0
Feb 16 Decisão vs Retrô FC … 1-1
Feb 02 Decisão vs Maguary PE 5-0
Jan 22 Decisão vs Jaguaré 2-1
Jan 14 Decisão vs Sport Rec… 1-1
Jan 11 Decisão vs Santa Cru… 1-1
Sep 21 Decisão vs Jaguaré 0-1
Aug 24 Decisão vs Acadêmica… 5-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 11, 2025 Decisão 1 - 1 Santa Cruz FC Pernambucano -…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Santa Cruz FC Power 0
Decisão Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Santa Cruz FC Position

+1

Position Gap

5

Decisão Position
Home Win Rate: 75%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.