AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Apr 13, 2021

Doncaster

Home
VS
18:00

Brighton

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Doncaster Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Brighton Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.62 - 1.00
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 1.0
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Doncaster Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Brighton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (7%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Doncaster Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 10 Doncaster vs Wigan 1-4
Mar 06 Doncaster vs Plymouth 2-1
Feb 09 Doncaster vs Fleetwood… 3-1
Jan 30 Doncaster vs Lincoln 0-1
Jan 26 Doncaster vs AFC Wimbl… 2-0
Dec 19 Doncaster vs Brighton 1-3
Nov 24 Doncaster vs Blackpool 3-2
Oct 31 Doncaster vs Lincoln 1-0
Oct 27 Doncaster vs Plymouth 2-1
Oct 03 Doncaster vs Wigan 1-0
Brighton Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 12 Brighton vs Everton 0-0
Mar 16 Brighton vs Blackpool 1-1
Feb 13 Brighton vs Aston Vil… 0-0
Feb 13 Brighton vs Northampt… 0-2
Feb 06 Brighton vs Burnley 1-1
Jan 27 Brighton vs Fulham 0-0
Dec 29 Brighton vs Wigan 3-4
Dec 27 Brighton vs West Brom 2-2
Dec 19 Brighton vs Doncaster 1-3
Dec 16 Brighton vs Fulham 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Doncaster in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 19, 2020 Brighton 1 - 3 Doncaster League One
Final Verdict

PRO: Doncaster to win (70% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 2-1 70% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 82
Doncaster Power 30
Brighton Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.