FAW Championship · Apr 15, 2023 13:30
Ynyshir Albions
PWR 29
3 - 1
FT
Llantwit Major
PWR 47
35% H 27% D 38% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Llantwit Major to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 1-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 3-2 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 11.7% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack33
Defense30
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G2.0
Attack44
Defense60
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.1
Ynyshir Albions Form WWLLL
STABLE
Llantwit Major Form WWDDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.574%
BTTS75%
Under 2.526%
Ynyshir Alb… Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Llantwit Ma… Goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.32
Ynyshir Albions
vs
1.80
Llantwit Major
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum67%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#30
Ynyshir Alb…
-20
Gap
#10
Llantwit Ma…
WR 24% 26 pts WR 36% 73 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Ynyshir Albions297517275826
Llantwit Major53191618666073
Ynyshir Albions 8.0%
Apr 01 Ynyshir… v Cwmbran… 1-0
Feb 25 Ynyshir… v Ammanfo… 1-0
Feb 11 Ynyshir… v Cwmbran… 4-1
Dec 29 Ynyshir… v Cambria… 3-2
Dec 26 Ynyshir… v Cambria… 2-4
Dec 06 Ynyshir… v Afan Li… 1-0
Oct 01 Ynyshir… v Llantwi… 4-0
Aug 02 Ynyshir… v Ammanfo… 2-2
Llantwit Major 16.0%
Mar 25 Llantwi… v Afan Li… 2-0
Mar 11 Llantwi… v Cwmbran… 1-2
Feb 25 Llantwi… v Caernar… 0-0
Oct 08 Llantwi… v Cwmbran… 2-2
Oct 01 Llantwi… v Ynyshir… 4-0
Aug 19 Llantwi… v Afan Li… 2-2
Aug 13 Llantwi… v Cwmbran… 0-2
Aug 02 Llantwi… v Caernar… 4-1
Jul 23 Llantwi… v Caernar… 0-2
Apr 30 Llantwi… v Cwmbran… 0-5
Head-to-Head (1)
Oct 01, 2022 Llantwit Major 4-0 Ynyshir Albio…
Key Factors
Llantwit Major in strong form (3W in last 5)
Ynyshir Albions struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.