AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FAW Championship Apr 15, 2023

Gresford Athletic

Home
VS
13:30

Penrhyncoch

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Gresford Athletic Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Penrhyncoch Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 60%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 2.85 - 1.54
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 1.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Gresford Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Penrhyncoch Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 1-1 (5%) 2-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Under 2.5 Goals 26%
Gresford Athletic Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 11 Gresford … vs Holyhead … 0-2
Feb 04 Gresford … vs Holyhead … 1-3
Jan 21 Gresford … vs Holywell 2-0
Dec 27 Gresford … vs Buckley T… 0-3
Oct 29 Gresford … vs Buckley T… 3-2
Sep 24 Gresford … vs Holywell 1-2
Sep 20 Gresford … vs Buckley T… 2-2
Aug 07 Gresford … vs Airbus UK 2-1
Jul 30 Gresford … vs Penrhynco… 1-0
Jul 22 Gresford … vs Denbigh T… 0-1
Penrhyncoch Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 10 Penrhynco… vs Ruthin To… 2-1
Feb 04 Penrhynco… vs Buckley T… 2-1
Jan 18 Penrhynco… vs Guilsfield 1-2
Nov 19 Penrhynco… vs Guilsfield 4-1
Nov 05 Penrhynco… vs Buckley T… 3-4
Sep 17 Penrhynco… vs Caersws 1-1
Sep 06 Penrhynco… vs Ruthin To… 1-1
Jul 30 Penrhynco… vs Gresford … 1-0
Jul 23 Penrhynco… vs Buckley T… 0-2
Apr 09 Penrhynco… vs Gresford … 4-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Gresford Athletic struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Penrhyncoch struggling (5L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 30, 2022 Penrhyncoch 1 - 0 Gresford Athletic FAW Championsh…
Apr 09, 2022 Gresford Athletic 4 - 2 Penrhyncoch FAW Championsh…
Nov 06, 2021 Penrhyncoch 2 - 1 Gresford Athletic FAW Championsh…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Gresford Athletic Power 0
Penrhyncoch Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Gresford Athletic Position

+2

Position Gap

15

Penrhyncoch Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.