FAW Championship · Nov 03, 2023 19:30
Denbigh Town
PWR 35
PWR 35
3 - 2
FT
Mold Alexandra
PWR 35
PWR 35
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
PRO: Denbigh Town to win (65% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
65%
Confidence
PRO
Match Analyzer PRO
Match Analyzer PRO
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (21%)
2-0 (20%)
3-0 (13%)
0-0 (11%)
1-1 (6%)
2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Denbigh Town Form
WWL
STABLE
Mold Alexandra Form
WWLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.536%
BTTS21%
Under 2.564%
Denbigh Town Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Mold Alexan… Goals
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Denbigh Townvs
0.28
Mold AlexandraDecision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum88%
Standings76%
Market50%
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Denbigh Town+8
Gap#14
Mold Alexan…
WR 55% 30 pts
WR 40% 17 pts
Denbigh Town
13.3%
| Oct 28 | Denbigh… v Gresfor… | 1-2 |
| Sep 08 | Denbigh… v Airbus … | 2-0 |
| Jul 22 | Denbigh… v Gresfor… | 0-1 |
Mold Alexandra
8.0%
| Oct 28 | Mold Al… v Llandud… | 1-0 |
| Sep 30 | Mold Al… v Buckley… | 0-3 |
| Aug 28 | Mold Al… v Holywell | 3-0 |
| Aug 12 | Mold Al… v Caersws | 4-0 |
| Jul 22 | Mold Al… v Buckley… | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Mold Al… v Holywell | 0-2 |
| Jan 02 | Mold Al… v Llandud… | 1-2 |
| Dec 07 | Mold Al… v Buckley… | 2-1 |
| Nov 26 | Mold Al… v Buckley… | 2-0 |
| Oct 29 | Mold Al… v Holywell | 2-0 |
Key Factors
Mold Alexandra struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.