AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eerste Divisie Jan 12, 2024

Dordrecht

Home
VS
19:00

Helmond Sport

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Dordrecht Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Helmond Sport Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 3.81 - 0.87
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 0.9 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dordrecht Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
19%
Helmond Sport Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (4%) 3-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%
Dordrecht Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 19 Dordrecht vs Cambuur 0-3
Dec 08 Dordrecht vs VVV Venlo 3-1
Dec 01 Dordrecht vs Roda 2-0
Oct 27 Dordrecht vs Den Bosch 5-1
Oct 23 Dordrecht vs Helmond S… 1-1
Sep 29 Dordrecht vs PSV Eindh… 1-1
Sep 19 Dordrecht vs GVVV Veen… 5-2
Sep 15 Dordrecht vs Utrecht 3-3
Aug 18 Dordrecht vs Willem II 2-0
Jul 21 Dordrecht vs Den Bosch 2-0
Helmond Sport Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 15 Helmond S… vs Willem II 4-1
Dec 08 Helmond S… vs MVV Maast… 1-2
Nov 24 Helmond S… vs Emmen 1-2
Oct 23 Helmond S… vs Dordrecht 1-1
Sep 18 Helmond S… vs De Graafs… 2-1
Sep 01 Helmond S… vs Cambuur 2-1
Aug 28 Helmond S… vs Jong PSV 2-1
Aug 18 Helmond S… vs Den Bosch 1-0
Jul 07 Helmond S… vs Dordrecht 3-1
Apr 14 Helmond S… vs Den Bosch 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Helmond Sport struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 23, 2023 Helmond Sport 1 - 1 Dordrecht Eerste Divisie
Jul 07, 2023 Helmond Sport 3 - 1 Dordrecht Friendlies Clu…
Mar 26, 2023 Dordrecht 0 - 0 Helmond Sport Eerste Divisie
Sep 16, 2022 Helmond Sport 2 - 1 Dordrecht Eerste Divisie
Jan 07, 2022 Helmond Sport 1 - 2 Dordrecht Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Dordrecht to win (62% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 62% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dordrecht Power 0
Helmond Sport Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Dordrecht Position

+8

Position Gap

17

Helmond Sport Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 8%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.