Eerste Divisie · Nov 10, 2024 15:45
Dordrecht
PWR 35
Helmond Sport
PWR 35
Dordrecht
PWR 35
4 - 0
FT
Helmond Sport
PWR 35
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Dordrecht to win (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
3-0 (8%)
1-1 (6%)
1-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Weak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (32.0%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Dordrecht Form
WWDWW
STABLE
Helmond Sport Form
LWWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.567%
BTTS60%
Under 2.533%
Dordrecht Goals
0
6%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
Helmond Spo… Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.89
Dordrechtvs
1.01
Helmond SportDecision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum92%
Standings67%
Market50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Dordrecht+6
Gap#15
Helmond Spo…
WR 33% 34 pts
WR 8% 29 pts
Dordrecht
18.0%
| Oct 30 | Dordrec… v NAC Bre… | 2-1 |
| Oct 25 | Dordrec… v Utrecht | 3-1 |
| Oct 22 | Dordrec… v Vitesse | 2-2 |
| Oct 19 | Dordrec… v Sparta … | 5-3 |
| Oct 18 | Dordrec… v VVV Ven… | 2-3 |
| Oct 12 | Dordrec… v Spakenb… | 4-1 |
| Sep 30 | Dordrec… v Jong AZ | 0-1 |
| Sep 13 | Dordrec… v PSV Ein… | 0-0 |
| Aug 24 | Dordrec… v Excelsi… | 1-2 |
| Aug 17 | Dordrec… v HHC | 2-1 |
Helmond Sport
14.0%
| Oct 31 | Helmond… v Telstar | 3-0 |
| Oct 27 | Helmond… v MVV Maa… | 1-2 |
| Sep 30 | Helmond… v Jong PSV | 1-3 |
| Sep 13 | Helmond… v De Graa… | 2-3 |
| Aug 23 | Helmond… v Emmen | 0-0 |
| Aug 18 | Helmond… v Cambuur | 0-1 |
| May 10 | Helmond… v Cambuur | 1-1 |
| May 03 | Helmond… v PSV Ein… | 2-0 |
| Apr 29 | Helmond… v Emmen | 3-0 |
| Apr 19 | Helmond… v Jong AZ | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Jan 12, 2024 | Dordrecht | 2-0 | Helmond Sport |
| Oct 23, 2023 | Helmond Sport | 1-1 | Dordrecht |
| Jul 07, 2023 | Helmond Sport | 3-1 | Dordrecht |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Dordrecht | 0-0 | Helmond Sport |
| Sep 16, 2022 | Helmond Sport | 2-1 | Dordrecht |
| Jan 07, 2022 | Helmond Sport | 1-2 | Dordrecht |
Key Factors
Dordrecht in strong form (4W in last 5)
Helmond Sport in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.