Predictions Match Details
Ligue 1 · Apr 17, 2022 18:45

Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
2 - 1
FT

Marseille
PWR 48
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Paris Saint Germain to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (14%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack65
Defense76
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G0.8
Attack69
Defense67
Goals/G2.3
Conc/G1.1
Paris Saint Ge… Form LWWWW
STABLE
Marseille Form WLLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS36%
Under 2.540%
Paris Saint… Goals
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Marseille Goals
0
62%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.07
Paris Saint Ge…
vs
0.48
Marseille
Decision Breakdown
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings65%
Market50%
League Standings
#2
Paris Saint…
+2
Gap
#4
Marseille
WR 89% 48 pts WR 50% 39 pts
Paris Saint Ge… 16.0%
Mar 20 Paris S… v Monaco 3-0
Feb 11 Paris S… v Rennes … 1-0
Feb 06 Paris S… v Lille 1-5
Dec 12 Paris S… v Monaco 2-0
Oct 29 Paris S… v Lille 2-1
Oct 03 Paris S… v Rennes … 2-0
Sep 22 Paris S… v Metz 1-2
Aug 14 Paris S… v Strasbo… 4-2
May 19 Paris S… v Monaco 0-2
May 09 Paris S… v Rennes … 1-1
Marseille 12.0%
Mar 20 Marseil… v Nice 2-1
Mar 06 Marseil… v Monaco 0-1
Feb 09 Marseil… v Nice 4-1
Feb 04 Marseil… v Angers 5-2
Jan 22 Marseil… v Lens 0-2
Jan 16 Marseil… v Lille 1-1
Dec 01 Marseil… v Nantes 0-1
Oct 27 Marseil… v Nice 1-1
Oct 03 Marseil… v Lille 2-0
Sep 26 Marseil… v Lens 2-3
Key Factors
Paris Saint Germain in strong form (4W in last 5)
Marseille in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.