AI Match Insights

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Ligue 1 Oct 16, 2022

Paris Saint Germain

Home
VS
18:45

Marseille

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Paris Saint Germain Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Marseille Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 65%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 3.06 - 0.60
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Paris Saint Germain Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Marseille Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Paris Saint Germain Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 28 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Monaco 1-1
Aug 21 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Lille 1-7
May 21 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Metz 5-0
Apr 29 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Strasbourg 3-3
Apr 17 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Marseille 2-1
Mar 20 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Monaco 3-0
Feb 11 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Rennes FC 1-0
Feb 06 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Lille 1-5
Dec 12 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Monaco 2-0
Oct 29 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Lille 2-1
Marseille Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 30 Marseille vs Angers 0-3
Sep 18 Marseille vs Rennes FC 1-1
Sep 10 Marseille vs Lille 2-1
Aug 28 Marseille vs Nice 0-3
Aug 20 Marseille vs Nantes 2-1
Apr 20 Marseille vs Nantes 3-2
Apr 17 Marseille vs Paris Saiā€¦ 2-1
Mar 20 Marseille vs Nice 2-1
Mar 06 Marseille vs Monaco 0-1
Feb 09 Marseille vs Nice 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Paris Saint Germain in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Marseille in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 17, 2022 Paris Saint Germain 2 - 1 Marseille Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Paris Saint Germain to win (51% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 51% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Paris Saint Germain Power 49
Marseille Power 48
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Paris Saint Germain Position

+2

Position Gap

3

Marseille Position
Home Win Rate: 89%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.