AI Match Insights
La Liga Sep 29, 2024
Atlético Madrid
HomeVS
19:00
Real Madrid
AwayAI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Atlético Madrid Win
Draw
Real Madrid Win
Home Win
(43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
Combined: 40%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.57 - 0.77
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atlético Madrid Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Real Madrid Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (26%)
0-1 (20%)
1-0 (15%)
1-1 (11%)
0-2 (8%)
1-2 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
15%
Under 2.5 Goals
85%
Atlético Madrid Form 16.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 15 | Atlético … vs Valencia | 3-0 |
| Aug 31 | Atlético … vs Athletic … | 0-1 |
| Aug 25 | Atlético … vs Girona | 3-0 |
| May 25 | Atlético … vs Real Soci… | 0-2 |
| May 19 | Atlético … vs Osasuna | 1-4 |
| May 15 | Atlético … vs Getafe | 0-3 |
| May 12 | Atlético … vs Celta de … | 1-0 |
| May 04 | Atlético … vs Mallorca | 0-1 |
| Apr 27 | Atlético … vs Athletic … | 3-1 |
| Apr 21 | Atlético … vs Alavés | 2-0 |
Real Madrid Form 18.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | Real Madr… vs Celta | 0-1 |
| Sep 24 | Real Madr… vs Alavés | 3-2 |
| Sep 24 | Real Madr… vs Alavés | 3-2 |
| Sep 22 | Real Madr… vs Valencia | 1-1 |
| Sep 21 | Real Madr… vs Espanyol | 4-1 |
| Sep 15 | Real Madr… vs Valencia | 3-0 |
| Sep 14 | Real Madr… vs Real Soci… | 0-2 |
| Sep 01 | Real Madr… vs Real Betis | 2-0 |
| Sep 01 | Real Madr… vs Real Betis | 2-0 |
| Aug 31 | Real Madr… vs Ath Bilbao | 0-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Atlético Madrid in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
- Real Madrid in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 04, 2024 | Real Madrid | 1 - 1 | Atlético Madrid | La Liga |
| Jan 18, 2024 | Atlético Madrid | 4 - 2 | Real Madrid | Copa del Rey |
| Jan 10, 2024 | Real Madrid | 5 - 3 | Atlético Madrid | Super Cup |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Atlético Madrid | 3 - 1 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Atlético Madrid to win (51% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
51% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Atlético Madrid Power
45
Real Madrid Power
49
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
3
Atlético Madrid Position-1
Position Gap2
Real Madrid Position
Home Win Rate: 91%
Away Win Rate: 64%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.