AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Catarinense - 1 Jan 17, 2026

Carlos Renaux

Home
VS
21:00

Camboriú

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Carlos Renaux Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Camboriú Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 44%
Market 36%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 55%
Asian Handicap: Away -0.25
xG: 3.25 - 0.33
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.3 Asian Handicap: Away -0.25
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Carlos Renaux Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Camboriú Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
72%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (16%) 2-0 (15%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 27%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Carlos Renaux Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 15 Carlos Re… vs Avaí 1-0
Jan 11 Carlos Re… vs Brusque 1-0
Jan 08 Carlos Re… vs Concórdia 0-1
Oct 13 Carlos Re… vs Nação 1-1
Oct 05 Carlos Re… vs Blumenau 2-1
Oct 01 Carlos Re… vs Joinville 2-0
Sep 21 Carlos Re… vs Joinville 4-2
Sep 14 Carlos Re… vs Blumenau 2-2
Sep 07 Carlos Re… vs Nação 0-0
Aug 31 Carlos Re… vs Camboriú 2-0
Camboriú Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 14 Camboriú vs Barra 1-0
Jan 11 Camboriú vs Chapecoen… 2-0
Jan 06 Camboriú vs Santa Cat… 2-2
Oct 14 Camboriú vs Tubarão 1-0
Oct 04 Camboriú vs Criciúma 3-3
Sep 27 Camboriú vs Caravaggio 2-0
Sep 19 Camboriú vs Caravaggio 2-0
Sep 14 Camboriú vs Criciúma 3-1
Sep 07 Camboriú vs Tubarão 0-0
Aug 31 Camboriú vs Carlos Re… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Carlos Renaux struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 31, 2025 Carlos Renaux 2 - 0 Camboriú Catarinense - 2
Aug 23, 2025 Camboriú 1 - 1 Carlos Renaux Catarinense - 2
Jul 27, 2025 Camboriú 0 - 2 Carlos Renaux Catarinense - 2
Jul 29, 2024 Carlos Renaux 0 - 1 Camboriú Catarinense - 2
Jul 25, 2024 Camboriú 0 - 1 Carlos Renaux Catarinense - 2
Jun 03, 2024 Carlos Renaux 2 - 0 Camboriú Catarinense - 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Carlos Renaux Power 0
Camboriú Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Carlos Renaux Position

-3

Position Gap

3

Camboriú Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.