TrophĂ©e des Champions · Jan 08, 2026 18:00

Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
2 - 2
FT

Marseille
PWR 48
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Paris Saint Germain to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-2 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Limited data available (Tier 3)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Power & Form
Attack65
Defense76
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G0.8
Attack69
Defense67
Goals/G2.3
Conc/G1.1
Paris Saint Ge… Form WWDWL
STABLE
Marseille Form LWWLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.573%
BTTS72%
Under 2.527%
Paris Saint… Goals
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
Marseille Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.83
Paris Saint Ge…
vs
1.44
Marseille
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum85%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Paris Saint Ge… 14.0%
Jan 04 Paris S… v Paris FC 2-1
Dec 13 Paris S… v Metz 2-3
Dec 10 Paris S… v Athleti… 0-0
Dec 06 Paris S… v Rennes … 5-0
Nov 29 Paris S… v Monaco 1-0
Nov 26 Paris S… v Tottenh… 5-3
Nov 22 Paris S… v LE Havr… 3-0
Nov 09 Paris S… v Lyon 2-3
Nov 04 Paris S… v Bayern … 1-2
Nov 01 Paris S… v Nice 1-0
Marseille 10.0%
Jan 04 Marseil… v Nantes 0-2
Dec 14 Marseil… v Monaco 1-0
Dec 09 Marseil… v Union S… 2-3
Dec 05 Marseil… v Lille 1-0
Nov 29 Marseil… v Toulouse 2-2
Nov 25 Marseil… v Newcast… 2-1
Nov 21 Marseil… v Nice 1-5
Nov 08 Marseil… v Stade B… 3-0
Nov 05 Marseil… v Atalanta 0-1
Nov 01 Marseil… v Auxerre 0-1
Head-to-Head (9)
Sep 22, 2025 Marseille 1-0 Paris Saint G…
Mar 16, 2025 Paris Saint G… 3-1 Marseille
Oct 27, 2024 Marseille 0-3 Paris Saint G…
Mar 31, 2024 Marseille 0-2 Paris Saint G…
Sep 24, 2023 Paris Saint G… 4-0 Marseille
Feb 26, 2023 Marseille 0-3 Paris Saint G…
Feb 08, 2023 Marseille 2-1 Paris Saint G…
Oct 16, 2022 Paris Saint G… 1-0 Marseille
Apr 17, 2022 Paris Saint G… 2-1 Marseille
Key Factors
Paris Saint Germain in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.