AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Feb 18, 2026

AC Milan

Home
VS
19:45

Como

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
AC Milan Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Como Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 38% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 0.43 - 1.58
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AC Milan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
65%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Como Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (21%) 0-2 (17%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (9%) 0-3 (9%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 28%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
AC Milan Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 AC Milan vs Bologna 0-3
Jan 25 AC Milan vs AS Roma 1-1
Jan 18 AC Milan vs Lecce 1-0
Jan 15 AC Milan vs Como 1-3
Jan 11 AC Milan vs Fiorentina 1-1
Jan 08 AC Milan vs Genoa 1-1
Jan 02 AC Milan vs Cagliari 0-1
Dec 28 AC Milan vs Verona 3-0
Dec 18 AC Milan vs Napoli 2-0
Dec 14 AC Milan vs Sassuolo 2-2
Como Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Como vs Atalanta 0-0
Jan 27 Como vs Fiorentina 1-3
Jan 24 Como vs Torino 6-0
Jan 19 Como vs Lazio 0-3
Jan 15 Como vs AC Milan 1-3
Jan 10 Como vs Bologna 1-1
Jan 06 Como vs Pisa 0-3
Jan 03 Como vs Udinese 1-0
Dec 29 Como vs Mali 0-0
Dec 27 Como vs Lecce 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • AC Milan in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Como in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 15, 2026 Como 1 - 3 AC Milan Serie A
Mar 15, 2025 AC Milan 2 - 1 Como Serie A
Jan 14, 2025 Como 1 - 2 AC Milan Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: AC Milan to win (51% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 51% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AC Milan Power 45
Como Power 45
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

AC Milan Position

+4

Position Gap

6

Como Position
Home Win Rate: 64%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.