AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Portugal 2 Feb 07, 2026

MarĂ­timo

Home
VS
14:00

Farense

Away
AI Predictions 63.0% Confidence
MarĂ­timo Win
63.0%
Draw
21.4%
Farense Win
15.6%
Home Win (63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 77%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 3.07 - 0.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 0.2 Position gap: 16 places
Score Prediction Analysis
MarĂ­timo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Farense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (17%) 1-0 (11%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 0-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
MarĂ­timo Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 MarĂ­timo vs Feirense 1-1
Jan 24 Marítimo vs Felgueira… 1-1
Jan 18 Marítimo vs Lusitânia… 0-4
Jan 11 MarĂ­timo vs Chaves 2-3
Dec 21 Marítimo vs Leixões SC 1-4
Dec 16 MarĂ­timo vs Benfica B 1-1
Dec 06 MarĂ­timo vs Torreense 2-0
Nov 30 Marítimo vs Portimone… 0-2
Nov 23 Marítimo vs Penafiel … 2-1
Nov 09 Marítimo vs Pacos Fer… 2-0
Farense Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Farense vs FC Porto B 2-3
Jan 25 Farense vs Torreense 2-1
Jan 17 Farense vs Oliveiren… 0-0
Jan 03 Farense vs Portimone… 0-1
Dec 28 Farense vs Pacos Fer… 0-0
Dec 21 Farense vs União de … 0-1
Dec 17 Farense vs Benfica 0-2
Dec 13 Farense vs Académico… 3-0
Dec 08 Farense vs Vizela 2-0
Nov 30 Farense vs Sporting … 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • MarĂ­timo in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Farense struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 31, 2025 Farense 0 - 2 MarĂ­timo Liga Portugal 2
Final Verdict

MASTER: MarĂ­timo to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 16
MarĂ­timo Power 0
Farense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

MarĂ­timo Position

+16

Position Gap

17

Farense Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.