AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
SĂĽper Lig Mar 16, 2025

Fenerbahce

Home
VS
17:30

Samsunspor

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Fenerbahce Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Samsunspor Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 4.50 - 0.86
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.9 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Fenerbahce Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Samsunspor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Fenerbahce Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 13 Fenerbahce vs Rangers FC 0-2
Mar 06 Fenerbahce vs Rangers FC 1-3
Feb 27 Fenerbahce vs Gazişehir… 1-4
Feb 24 Fenerbahce vs Galatasar… 0-0
Feb 20 Fenerbahce vs Anderlecht 2-2
Feb 13 Fenerbahce vs Anderlecht 3-0
Feb 09 Fenerbahce vs Antalyasp… 0-2
Feb 05 Fenerbahce vs Erzurum BB 5-0
Jan 26 Fenerbahce vs Goztepe 3-2
Jan 13 Fenerbahce vs Antalyasp… 2-3
Samsunspor Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 03 Samsunspor vs Goztepe 2-2
Feb 25 Samsunspor vs BB Bodrum… 0-1
Feb 04 Samsunspor vs Kocaelisp… 0-2
Feb 01 Samsunspor vs İstanbul … 4-0
Jan 07 Samsunspor vs Besiktas 0-1
Jan 04 Samsunspor vs Trabzonsp… 2-1
Dec 13 Samsunspor vs BB Bodrum… 2-0
Dec 08 Samsunspor vs EyĂĽpspor 3-0
Nov 30 Samsunspor vs BB Bodrum… 4-0
Nov 10 Samsunspor vs Galatasar… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Samsunspor struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 20, 2024 Samsunspor 2 - 2 Fenerbahce SĂĽper Lig
Jan 21, 2024 Fenerbahce 1 - 1 Samsunspor SĂĽper Lig
Aug 21, 2023 Samsunspor 0 - 2 Fenerbahce SĂĽper Lig
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Fenerbahce to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Fenerbahce Power 0
Samsunspor Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Fenerbahce Position

+5

Position Gap

7

Samsunspor Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.