AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Stars League Feb 04, 2026

UMM Salal

Home
VS
14:45

Al-Duhail

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
UMM Salal Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Al-Duhail Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 40%
Market 57%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 38%
Asian Handicap: Home -1
xG: 2.41 - 0.50
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.5 Asian Handicap: Home -1
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
UMM Salal Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Al-Duhail Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 1-0 (13%) 3-0 (13%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
UMM Salal Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 29 UMM Salal vs Al-Arabi … 2-4
Jan 19 UMM Salal vs Al-Duhail 3-0
Jan 16 UMM Salal vs Al Shahan… 3-0
Jan 06 UMM Salal vs Al-Gharafa 2-3
Dec 29 UMM Salal vs Al Ahli D… 0-3
Dec 14 UMM Salal vs Al-Duhail 3-3
Dec 06 UMM Salal vs Qatar SC 6-1
Nov 29 UMM Salal vs Al-Arabi … 1-2
Nov 22 UMM Salal vs Al-Rayyan 1-2
Nov 16 UMM Salal vs Al Wakrah 3-1
Al-Duhail Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Al-Duhail vs Al-Rayyan 1-1
Jan 23 Al-Duhail vs Al Wahda … 1-0
Jan 21 Al-Duhail vs Al-Bidda 0-1
Jan 19 Al-Duhail vs UMM Salal 3-0
Jan 15 Al-Duhail vs Al Wakrah 0-2
Jan 10 Al-Duhail vs Al-Arabi … 2-0
Jan 08 Al-Duhail vs Al Shahan… 0-0
Dec 28 Al-Duhail vs Qatar SC 1-0
Dec 22 Al-Duhail vs Tractor 2-1
Dec 14 Al-Duhail vs Al Sailiy… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • UMM Salal struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Al-Duhail struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 19, 2026 UMM Salal 3 - 0 Al-Duhail QSL Cup
Dec 14, 2025 Al-Duhail 3 - 3 UMM Salal QSL Cup
Sep 12, 2025 Al-Duhail 4 - 2 UMM Salal Stars League
Jan 31, 2025 UMM Salal 1 - 2 Al-Duhail Stars League
Aug 22, 2024 Al-Duhail 1 - 0 UMM Salal Stars League
Apr 24, 2024 UMM Salal 2 - 0 Al-Duhail Stars League
Dec 01, 2023 Al-Duhail 0 - 1 UMM Salal Stars League
Apr 29, 2023 UMM Salal 1 - 2 Al-Duhail Stars League
Mar 28, 2023 UMM Salal 0 - 1 Al-Duhail QSL Cup
Jan 11, 2023 Al-Duhail 3 - 1 UMM Salal Stars League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
UMM Salal Power 0
Al-Duhail Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

UMM Salal Position

-5

Position Gap

6

Al-Duhail Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 29%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.