Liga Alef · Feb 06, 2026 11:00
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
PWR 35
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
PWR 35
3 - 1
FT
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
PWR 35
PWR 35
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (19%)
0-0 (16%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (11%)
0-1 (10%)
2-1 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATE
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk
AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (40.5%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Hapoel Migdal … Form
DWLDW
STABLE
Tzeirei Umm al… Form
WLDDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.528%
BTTS34%
Under 2.572%
Hapoel Migd… Goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Tzeirei Umm… Goals
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
3%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Hapoel Migdal …vs
0.66
Tzeirei Umm al…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum67%
Standings61%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Hapoel Migd…+3
Gap#11
Tzeirei Umm…
WR 30% 25 pts
WR 10% 23 pts
Hapoel Migdal …
12.0%
| Jan 31 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 0-0 |
| Jan 26 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 3-1 |
| Jan 16 | Hapoel … v Ironi B… | 2-1 |
| Jan 10 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 0-0 |
| Jan 06 | Hapoel … v Araba | 1-2 |
| Dec 31 | Hapoel … v Tira | 1-1 |
| Dec 19 | Hapoel … v Hapoel … | 0-4 |
| Dec 14 | Hapoel … v Hapoel … | 1-3 |
| Dec 05 | Hapoel … v Hapoel … | 0-5 |
| Nov 27 | Hapoel … v Hapoel … | 0-0 |
Tzeirei Umm al…
10.0%
| Jan 30 | Tzeirei… v Araba | 3-0 |
| Jan 24 | Tzeirei… v Tira | 2-1 |
| Jan 16 | Tzeirei… v Hapoel … | 1-1 |
| Jan 13 | Tzeirei… v Hapoel … | 0-0 |
| Jan 06 | Tzeirei… v Hapoel … | 2-2 |
| Jan 03 | Tzeirei… v Hapoel … | 0-3 |
| Dec 19 | Tzeirei… v Hapoel … | 1-0 |
| Dec 12 | Tzeirei… v Tzeirey… | 2-1 |
| Dec 05 | Tzeirei… v Ironi N… | 1-1 |
| Nov 28 | Tzeirei… v Maccabi… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Sep 26, 2025 | Tzeirei Umm a… | 0-0 | Hapoel Migdal… |
| Jan 21, 2025 | Hapoel Migdal… | 3-1 | Tzeirei Umm a… |
| May 03, 2024 | Hapoel Migdal… | 1-1 | Tzeirei Umm a… |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Tzeirei Umm a… | 2-2 | Hapoel Migdal… |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.