Predictions Match Details
Liga Alef · Feb 05, 2026 17:00

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
PWR 35
37% H 27% D 36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 1-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Full data available (Tier 1)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 6.7% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Hapoel Umm al-… Form WLLDL
STABLE
Hapoel Ironi K… Form LWDDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.569%
BTTS70%
Under 2.531%
Hapoel Umm … Goals
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
11%
Hapoel Iron… Goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Hapoel Umm al-…
vs
1.59
Hapoel Ironi K…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum68%
Standings30%
Market35%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#16
Hapoel Umm …
-11
Gap
#5
Hapoel Iron…
WR 33% 10 pts WR 40% 31 pts
Hapoel Umm al-… 6.0%
Jan 30 Hapoel … v Tzeirey… 2-4
Jan 23 Hapoel … v Ironi N… 1-2
Jan 17 Hapoel … v Maccabi… 3-2
Jan 13 Hapoel … v Tzeirei… 0-0
Jan 06 Hapoel … v Maccabi… 0-2
Jan 02 Hapoel … v Maccabi… 0-3
Dec 26 Hapoel … v Hapoel … 2-0
Dec 20 Hapoel … v Ironi B… 2-2
Dec 14 Hapoel … v Hapoel … 1-3
Dec 05 Hapoel … v Araba 3-2
Hapoel Ironi K… 12.0%
Jan 30 Hapoel … v Hapoel … 2-3
Jan 23 Hapoel … v Hapoel … 0-1
Jan 16 Hapoel … v Maccabi… 0-0
Jan 09 Hapoel … v Tzeirey… 3-3
Jan 06 Hapoel … v Ironi N… 4-0
Jan 02 Hapoel … v Maccabi… 2-0
Dec 25 Hapoel … v Hapoel … 2-1
Dec 19 Hapoel … v Tzeirei… 1-0
Dec 13 Hapoel … v Maccabi… 2-1
Dec 05 Hapoel … v Maccabi… 2-0
Head-to-Head (1)
Sep 26, 2025 Hapoel Ironi … 1-0 Hapoel Umm al…
Key Factors
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.