AI Match Insights

Liga Alef Feb 05, 2026

Shimshon Tel Aviv

Home
VS
18:30

Holon Yermiyahu

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Shimshon Tel Aviv Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Holon Yermiyahu Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 60%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 2.46 - 1.06
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 1.1 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Shimshon Tel Aviv Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Holon Yermiyahu Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 1-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Shimshon Tel Aviv Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Shimshon … vs Maccabi K… 1-3
Jan 23 Shimshon … vs Dimona 1-0
Jan 17 Shimshon … vs Nordia Je… 1-1
Jan 09 Shimshon … vs Maccabi A… 1-1
Jan 06 Shimshon … vs Hapoel He… 0-1
Jan 01 Shimshon … vs Maccabi K… 2-2
Dec 19 Shimshon … vs Beitar Ya… 1-0
Dec 11 Shimshon … vs Hapoel Ma… 3-2
Dec 05 Shimshon … vs Hapoel Az… 0-1
Nov 27 Shimshon … vs FC Jerusa… 1-0
Holon Yermiyahu Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Holon Yer… vs Hapoel Ma… 1-2
Jan 22 Holon Yer… vs Maccabi K… 2-3
Jan 16 Holon Yer… vs Hapoel Az… 2-0
Jan 11 Holon Yer… vs Dimona 2-1
Jan 06 Holon Yer… vs FC Jerusa… 3-3
Dec 31 Holon Yer… vs Nordia Je… 1-2
Dec 26 Holon Yer… vs Kafr Qasim 3-1
Dec 18 Holon Yer… vs Tzeirey T… 1-3
Dec 13 Holon Yer… vs Maccabi A… 1-1
Dec 06 Holon Yer… vs Hapoel Ra… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Holon Yermiyahu struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 05, 2025 Holon Yermiyahu 2 - 4 Shimshon Tel Aviv Liga Alef
Jan 17, 2025 Holon Yermiyahu 0 - 1 Shimshon Tel Aviv Liga Alef
Sep 17, 2024 Shimshon Tel Aviv 1 - 1 Holon Yermiyahu Liga Alef
Feb 26, 2024 Holon Yermiyahu 0 - 1 Shimshon Tel Aviv Liga Alef
Sep 21, 2023 Shimshon Tel Aviv 0 - 1 Holon Yermiyahu Liga Alef
Feb 23, 2023 Shimshon Tel Aviv 1 - 1 Holon Yermiyahu Liga Alef
Oct 22, 2022 Holon Yermiyahu 0 - 2 Shimshon Tel Aviv Liga Alef
Mar 29, 2022 Shimshon Tel Aviv 1 - 3 Holon Yermiyahu Liga Alef
Dec 10, 2021 Holon Yermiyahu 2 - 1 Shimshon Tel Aviv Liga Alef
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Shimshon Tel Aviv to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Shimshon Tel Aviv Power 0
Holon Yermiyahu Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Shimshon Tel Aviv Position

+6

Position Gap

14

Holon Yermiyahu Position

Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.