AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Feb 04, 2026

Aberdeen

Home
VS
20:00

Celtic

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Aberdeen Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Celtic Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 42%
Market 35%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 42%
Asian Handicap: Away -1.5
xG: 2.92 - 1.39
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 1.4 Asian Handicap: Away -1.5
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aberdeen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Celtic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (6%) 3-0 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Under 2.5 Goals 28%
Aberdeen Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock 3-0
Jan 24 Aberdeen vs Livingston 6-2
Jan 18 Aberdeen vs Raith Rov… 1-0
Jan 11 Aberdeen vs Rangers FC 0-2
Jan 06 Aberdeen vs Rangers FC 2-0
Jan 03 Aberdeen vs Falkirk 1-0
Dec 30 Aberdeen vs Hibernian 2-0
Dec 27 Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd 1-1
Dec 21 Aberdeen vs Celtic 3-1
Dec 18 Aberdeen vs Slavia Pr… 3-0
Celtic Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Celtic vs Falkirk 2-0
Jan 29 Celtic vs Utrecht 0-0
Jan 25 Celtic vs Heart of … 2-2
Jan 22 Celtic vs Bologna 2-2
Jan 18 Celtic vs Auchinlec… 0-2
Jan 14 Celtic vs Falkirk 0-1
Jan 10 Celtic vs Dundee Utd 4-0
Jan 03 Celtic vs Rangers FC 1-3
Dec 30 Celtic vs Motherwell 2-0
Dec 27 Celtic vs Livingston 2-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • Aberdeen struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 21, 2025 Celtic 3 - 1 Aberdeen Premiership
Aug 10, 2025 Aberdeen 0 - 2 Celtic Premiership
May 24, 2025 Aberdeen 1 - 1 Celtic FA Cup
May 14, 2025 Aberdeen 1 - 5 Celtic Premiership
Feb 25, 2025 Celtic 5 - 1 Aberdeen Premiership
Dec 04, 2024 Aberdeen 0 - 1 Celtic Premiership
Nov 02, 2024 Celtic 6 - 0 Aberdeen League Cup
Oct 19, 2024 Celtic 2 - 2 Aberdeen Premiership
Apr 20, 2024 Aberdeen 3 - 3 Celtic FA Cup
Feb 03, 2024 Aberdeen 1 - 1 Celtic Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aberdeen Power 0
Celtic Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Aberdeen Position

-4

Position Gap

3

Celtic Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.