AI Match Insights
Pro League Mar 15, 2024
Al-Ahli Saudi
HomeVS
19:00
Al-Nassr
AwayAI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Al-Ahli Saudi Win
Draw
Al-Nassr Win
Home Win
(41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
52%
Market
50%
Combined: 61%
Draw Risk: 10%
xG: 2.83 - 0.39
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Ahli Saudi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Al-Nassr Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%)
3-0 (15%)
1-0 (11%)
2-1 (6%)
3-1 (6%)
1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
Al-Ahli Saudi Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 09 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al Taawou… | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al Riyadh | 1-3 |
| Mar 02 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Fateh … | 1-1 |
| Feb 16 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al Akhdoud | 3-2 |
| Feb 08 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Nassr | 2-0 |
| Dec 29 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al Khalee… | 1-0 |
| Dec 29 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Fateh … | 0-2 |
| Dec 22 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Hazem | 0-4 |
| Dec 14 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Fateh … | 0-4 |
| Dec 11 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al Taawou… | 3-0 |
Al-Nassr Form 16.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25 | Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab | 2-3 |
| Feb 08 | Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli S… | 2-0 |
| Dec 30 | Al-Nassr vs Al Taawou… | 1-4 |
| Dec 26 | Al-Nassr vs Al-Ittiha… | 2-5 |
| Dec 22 | Al-Nassr vs Al-Ettifaq | 3-1 |
| Dec 11 | Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab | 2-5 |
| Dec 08 | Al-Nassr vs Al Riyadh | 4-1 |
| Dec 05 | Al-Nassr vs Istiqlol | 1-1 |
| Dec 01 | Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli S… | 3-0 |
| Nov 24 | Al-Nassr vs Al Akhdoud | 3-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Al-Ahli Saudi in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- Al-Nassr in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 08, 2024 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 2 - 0 | Al-Nassr | Friendlies Clu… |
| Dec 01, 2023 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 3 - 0 | Al-Nassr | Pro League |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Al-Nassr | 4 - 3 | Al-Ahli Saudi | Pro League |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 1 - 2 | Al-Nassr | Arab Club Cham… |
| Apr 18, 2023 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 2 - 0 | Al-Nassr | Pro League |
| May 28, 2022 | Al-Nassr | 1 - 1 | Al-Ahli Saudi | Pro League |
| Nov 26, 2021 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 1 - 2 | Al-Nassr | Pro League |
| Mar 11, 2021 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 1 - 2 | Al-Nassr | Pro League |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Al-Nassr | 1 - 2 | Al-Ahli Saudi | Pro League |
| Oct 27, 2020 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 1 - 2 | Al-Nassr | King's Cup |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Al-Ahli Saudi to win (41% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Al-Ahli Saudi Power
0
Al-Nassr Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
2
Al-Ahli Saudi Position+1
Position Gap3
Al-Nassr Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 70%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.