Pro League · Sep 13, 2024 18:00

Al-Nassr
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT

Al-Ahli Saudi
PWR 35
41% H 26% D 33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Al-Nassr to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (10%) 1-2 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 0-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Al-Nassr Form LWDWD
STABLE
Al-Ahli Saudi Form WLWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.564%
BTTS67%
Under 2.536%
Al-Nassr Goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Al-Ahli Sau… Goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Al-Nassr
vs
1.78
Al-Ahli Saudi
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings58%
Market50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Al-Nassr
+1
Gap
#3
Al-Ahli Sau…
WR 90% 49 pts WR 67% 47 pts
Al-Nassr 12.0%
Aug 17 Al-Nassr v Al-Ahli… 1-4
Aug 14 Al-Nassr v Al Taaw… 0-2
May 31 Al-Nassr v Al-Ahli… 1-1
May 27 Al-Nassr v Al-Itti… 4-2
May 23 Al-Nassr v Al Riya… 2-2
May 17 Al-Nassr v Al-Ahli… 1-1
May 09 Al-Nassr v Al Akhd… 2-3
May 04 Al-Nassr v Al Wehd… 6-0
May 01 Al-Nassr v Al Khal… 3-1
Apr 27 Al-Nassr v Al Khal… 0-1
Al-Ahli Saudi 14.0%
Aug 28 Al-Ahli… v Damac 3-2
Aug 27 Al-Ahli… v Al-Fate… 1-0
Aug 24 Al-Ahli… v Al Akhd… 0-3
Aug 17 Al-Ahli… v Al-Nassr 1-4
Aug 13 Al-Ahli… v Al-Ahli… 1-1
May 31 Al-Ahli… v Al-Nassr 1-1
May 27 Al-Ahli… v Al Wehd… 1-2
May 27 Al-Ahli… v Al-Fate… 1-0
May 23 Al-Ahli… v Al-Raed 0-0
May 23 Al-Ahli… v Al Taee 3-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Aug 17, 2024 Al-Nassr 1-4 Al-Ahli Saudi
May 31, 2024 Al-Ahli Saudi 1-1 Al-Nassr
May 17, 2024 Al-Nassr 1-1 Al-Ahli Saudi
Apr 08, 2024 Al-Ahli Saudi 2-1 Al-Nassr
Mar 15, 2024 Al-Ahli Saudi 0-1 Al-Nassr
Feb 08, 2024 Al-Ahli Saudi 2-0 Al-Nassr
Dec 01, 2023 Al-Ahli Saudi 3-0 Al-Nassr
Sep 22, 2023 Al-Nassr 4-3 Al-Ahli Saudi
Aug 12, 2023 Al-Ahli Saudi 1-2 Al-Nassr
Apr 18, 2023 Al-Ahli Saudi 2-0 Al-Nassr
Key Factors
Al-Ahli Saudi in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.