AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Africa Cup of Nations Jan 16, 2022

Algeria

Home
VS
19:00

Equatorial Guinea

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Algeria Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Equatorial Guinea Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 1.92 - 0.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.9
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Algeria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Equatorial Guinea Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (11%) 2-0 (11%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Algeria Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 11 Algeria vs Egypt 1-0
Dec 07 Algeria vs Egypt 1-1
Dec 01 Algeria vs Sudan 4-0
Nov 16 Algeria vs Burkina F… 2-2
Sep 08 Algeria vs Bulgaria 4-1
Sep 07 Algeria vs Burkina F… 1-1
Sep 05 Algeria vs Paris FC 4-0
Mar 28 Algeria vs Paris FC 1-2
Oct 13 Algeria vs Tunisia 1-1
Equatorial Guinea Form 50%

No recent form data available

Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Algeria to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Algeria Power 0
Equatorial Guinea Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Algeria Position

+3

Position Gap

4

Equatorial Guinea Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.