AI Match Insights

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Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Nov 14, 2024

Equatorial Guinea

Home
VS
13:00

Algeria

Away
AI Predictions 44.3% Confidence
Equatorial Guinea Win
44.3%
Draw
25.1%
Algeria Win
30.5%
Home Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.11 - 0.43
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.4
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Equatorial Guinea Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Algeria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
65%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 0-0 (21%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Under 2.5 Goals 80%
Equatorial Guinea Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 05 Equatoria… vs Algeria 2-0
Oct 13 Equatoria… vs Burkina F… 0-0
Jan 16 Equatoria… vs Algeria 0-1
Algeria Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 05 Algeria vs Equatoria… 2-0
Jun 30 Algeria vs Paris FC 4-1
Jun 26 Algeria vs Portugal … 2-0
Jun 22 Algeria vs Czech Rep… 1-1
Jun 18 Algeria vs Turkey 3-1
Jan 20 Algeria vs Burkina F… 2-2
Nov 19 Algeria vs Paris FC 3-1
Oct 16 Algeria vs Egypt 1-1
Sep 08 Algeria vs Paris FC 1-7
Sep 27 Algeria vs Algeria 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 05, 2024 Algeria 2 - 0 Equatorial Guinea Africa Cup of …
Jan 16, 2022 Algeria 0 - 1 Equatorial Guinea Africa Cup of …
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Equatorial Guinea to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Equatorial Guinea Power 0
Algeria Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.