AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Feb 03, 2026

Port Vale

Home
VS
19:00

AFC Wimbledon

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Port Vale Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
AFC Wimbledon Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 34%
Market 49%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 42%
Asian Handicap: Home -0.75
xG: 4.34 - 1.04
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.3 vs 1.0 Asian Handicap: Home -0.75
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Port Vale Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
AFC Wimbledon Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 2-0 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 2-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Port Vale Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Port Vale vs Leyton Or… 0-1
Jan 24 Port Vale vs Exeter Ci… 1-3
Jan 17 Port Vale vs Mansfield… 3-0
Jan 13 Port Vale vs Bolton 0-1
Jan 09 Port Vale vs Fleetwood… 1-0
Jan 01 Port Vale vs Blackpool 5-1
Dec 29 Port Vale vs Brentford 1-0
Dec 26 Port Vale vs Huddersfi… 5-0
Dec 20 Port Vale vs Peterboro… 0-1
Dec 13 Port Vale vs Bolton 2-2
AFC Wimbledon Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 AFC Wimbl… vs Bolton 0-1
Jan 24 AFC Wimbl… vs Rotherham… 1-1
Jan 17 AFC Wimbl… vs Doncaster 0-1
Jan 12 AFC Wimbl… vs West Ham … 4-2
Jan 04 AFC Wimbl… vs Wycombe 2-0
Jan 01 AFC Wimbl… vs Leyton Or… 1-3
Dec 29 AFC Wimbl… vs Exeter Ci… 0-1
Dec 26 AFC Wimbl… vs Stevenage 0-0
Dec 19 AFC Wimbl… vs Northampt… 3-1
Dec 13 AFC Wimbl… vs Mansfield… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Port Vale in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • AFC Wimbledon struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 11, 2025 AFC Wimbledon 1 - 1 Port Vale League One
Apr 26, 2025 AFC Wimbledon 0 - 2 Port Vale Pro League
Apr 26, 2025 AFC Wimbledon 0 - 2 Port Vale League Two
Oct 26, 2024 Port Vale 3 - 2 AFC Wimbledon Pro League
Oct 26, 2024 Port Vale 3 - 2 AFC Wimbledon League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Port Vale to win (50% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 50% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Port Vale Power 28
AFC Wimbledon Power 32
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

24

Port Vale Position

-8

Position Gap

16

AFC Wimbledon Position
Home Win Rate: 15%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.