A-League · Apr 01, 2023 02:00
Wellington Phoenix
PWR 35
Melbourne Victory
PWR 35
Wellington Phoenix
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT
Melbourne Victory
PWR 35
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (15%)
2-0 (14%)
1-1 (9%)
3-0 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
0-0 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Wellington Pho… Form
LWWDL
STABLE
Melbourne Vict… Form
WLDWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.546%
BTTS40%
Under 2.554%
Wellington … Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Melbourne V… Goals
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Wellington Pho…vs
0.64
Melbourne Vict…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings38%
Market50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Wellington …-6
Gap#5
Melbourne V…
WR 33% 19 pts
WR 33% 23 pts
Wellington Pho…
10.0%
| Mar 17 | Welling… v Adelaid… | 5-1 |
| Mar 12 | Welling… v Sydney | 1-0 |
| Mar 04 | Welling… v Newcast… | 2-1 |
| Feb 24 | Welling… v Central… | 1-1 |
| Feb 12 | Welling… v Macarth… | 2-1 |
| Feb 03 | Welling… v Melbour… | 3-1 |
| Jan 22 | Welling… v Central… | 2-1 |
| Jan 14 | Welling… v Brisban… | 0-1 |
| Jan 07 | Welling… v Sydney | 0-1 |
| Jan 02 | Welling… v Melbour… | 1-3 |
Melbourne Vict…
10.0%
| Mar 19 | Melbour… v Central… | 2-0 |
| Mar 04 | Melbour… v Sydney | 1-0 |
| Feb 26 | Melbour… v Adelaid… | 1-1 |
| Feb 03 | Melbour… v Welling… | 3-1 |
| Jan 26 | Melbour… v Sydney | 1-2 |
| Jan 21 | Melbour… v Perth G… | 3-1 |
| Jan 14 | Melbour… v Adelaid… | 1-1 |
| Jan 06 | Melbour… v Brisban… | 0-1 |
| Dec 31 | Melbour… v Central… | 2-1 |
| Dec 11 | Melbour… v Macarth… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Feb 03, 2023 | Melbourne Vic… | 3-1 | Wellington Ph… |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.