A-League · Nov 10, 2023 08:45

Melbourne Victory
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT

Wellington Phoenix
PWR 35
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Melbourne Victory to win (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (20%) 3-0 (17%) 1-0 (16%) 0-0 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 3-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Below minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Melbourne Vict… Form DWLWL
STABLE
Wellington Pho… Form WLLWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.549%
BTTS19%
Under 2.551%
Melbourne V… Goals
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Wellington … Goals
0
80%
1
18%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.58
Melbourne Vict…
vs
0.23
Wellington Pho…
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings72%
Market50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Melbourne V…
+6
Gap
#11
Wellington …
WR 57% 23 pts WR 29% 19 pts
Melbourne Vict… 10.0%
Nov 04 Melbour… v Adelaid… 1-1
Oct 21 Melbour… v Sydney 0-2
Apr 29 Melbour… v Brisban… 0-1
Apr 23 Melbour… v Macarth… 2-1
Apr 15 Melbour… v Western… 2-1
Apr 09 Melbour… v Perth G… 0-0
Apr 05 Melbour… v Melbour… 2-1
Apr 01 Melbour… v Welling… 1-2
Mar 19 Melbour… v Central… 2-0
Mar 04 Melbour… v Sydney 1-0
Wellington Pho… 10.0%
Nov 04 Welling… v Brisban… 5-2
Aug 27 Welling… v Melbour… 3-0
May 05 Welling… v Adelaid… 2-0
Apr 29 Welling… v Macarth… 0-1
Apr 16 Welling… v Brisban… 2-2
Apr 10 Welling… v Melbour… 4-1
Apr 01 Welling… v Melbour… 1-2
Mar 17 Welling… v Adelaid… 5-1
Mar 12 Welling… v Sydney 1-0
Mar 04 Welling… v Newcast… 2-1
Head-to-Head (2)
Apr 01, 2023 Wellington Ph… 1-2 Melbourne Vic…
Feb 03, 2023 Melbourne Vic… 3-1 Wellington Ph…
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.