Predictions Match Details
A-League · Jan 19, 2024 06:00

Wellington Phoenix
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT

Melbourne Victory
PWR 35
37% H 27% D 36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 1-1 (5%) 1-2 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Wellington Pho… Form DLWLW
STABLE
Melbourne Vict… Form DWWDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.577%
BTTS80%
Under 2.523%
Wellington … Goals
0
7%
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
Melbourne V… Goals
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.74
Wellington Pho…
vs
1.94
Melbourne Vict…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum77%
Standings38%
Market50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Wellington …
-6
Gap
#5
Melbourne V…
WR 33% 19 pts WR 33% 23 pts
Wellington Pho… 10.0%
Jan 04 Welling… v Adelaid… 2-2
Dec 29 Welling… v Sydney 3-1
Dec 18 Welling… v Macarth… 0-3
Dec 09 Welling… v Newcast… 0-3
Nov 25 Welling… v Melbour… 1-0
Nov 10 Welling… v Melbour… 1-1
Nov 04 Welling… v Brisban… 5-2
Aug 27 Welling… v Melbour… 3-0
May 05 Welling… v Adelaid… 2-0
Apr 29 Welling… v Macarth… 0-1
Melbourne Vict… 16.0%
Jan 13 Melbour… v Central… 1-1
Jan 06 Melbour… v Perth G… 2-3
Dec 30 Melbour… v Adelaid… 2-0
Dec 23 Melbour… v Melbour… 0-0
Dec 16 Melbour… v Sydney 3-0
Dec 10 Melbour… v Western… 3-4
Dec 03 Melbour… v Central… 2-2
Nov 24 Melbour… v Macarth… 1-1
Nov 10 Melbour… v Welling… 1-1
Nov 04 Melbour… v Adelaid… 1-1
Head-to-Head (3)
Nov 10, 2023 Melbourne Vic… 1-1 Wellington Ph…
Apr 01, 2023 Wellington Ph… 1-2 Melbourne Vic…
Feb 03, 2023 Melbourne Vic… 3-1 Wellington Ph…
Key Factors
Melbourne Victory in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.