A-League · Nov 24, 2024 02:30

Wellington Phoenix
PWR 35

Melbourne Victory
PWR 35

Wellington Phoenix
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT

Melbourne Victory
PWR 35
31% H
28% D
41% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Melbourne Victory to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (15%)
0-0 (14%)
1-1 (13%)
0-1 (13%)
2-0 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Wellington Pho… Form
WLWLL
STABLE
Melbourne Vict… Form
WWWDW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.531%
BTTS39%
Under 2.569%
Wellington … Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Melbourne V… Goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Wellington Pho…vs
0.89
Melbourne Vict…Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings38%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Wellington …-6
Gap#5
Melbourne V…
WR 33% 19 pts
WR 33% 23 pts
Wellington Pho…
8.0%
| Nov 10 | Welling… v Central… | 0-3 |
| Nov 02 | Welling… v Auckland | 0-2 |
| Oct 06 | Welling… v Central… | 2-1 |
| Sep 17 | Welling… v Newcast… | 0-1 |
| May 18 | Welling… v Melbour… | 1-2 |
| May 12 | Welling… v Melbour… | 0-0 |
| Apr 27 | Welling… v Macarth… | 3-0 |
| Apr 19 | Welling… v Newcast… | 1-1 |
| Apr 12 | Welling… v Melbour… | 1-0 |
| Apr 06 | Welling… v Central… | 2-1 |
Melbourne Vict…
18.0%
| Nov 09 | Melbour… v Brisban… | 2-0 |
| Nov 03 | Melbour… v Macarth… | 2-1 |
| Oct 26 | Melbour… v Melbour… | 1-3 |
| Oct 18 | Melbour… v Central… | 0-0 |
| Sep 29 | Melbour… v Macarth… | 0-1 |
| Sep 21 | Melbour… v Adelaid… | 1-0 |
| May 25 | Melbour… v Central… | 3-1 |
| May 18 | Melbour… v Welling… | 1-2 |
| May 12 | Melbour… v Welling… | 0-0 |
| May 05 | Melbour… v Melbour… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| May 18, 2024 | Wellington Ph… | 1-2 | Melbourne Vic… |
| May 12, 2024 | Melbourne Vic… | 0-0 | Wellington Ph… |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Wellington Ph… | 1-0 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Jan 19, 2024 | Wellington Ph… | 1-1 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Nov 10, 2023 | Melbourne Vic… | 1-1 | Wellington Ph… |
| Apr 01, 2023 | Wellington Ph… | 1-2 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Feb 03, 2023 | Melbourne Vic… | 3-1 | Wellington Ph… |
Key Factors
Melbourne Victory in strong form (4W in last 5)
Wellington Phoenix struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.