A-League · Nov 24, 2024 02:30

Wellington Phoenix
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT

Melbourne Victory
PWR 35
31% H 28% D 41% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Melbourne Victory to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (15%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 0-1 (13%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Wellington Pho… Form WLWLL
STABLE
Melbourne Vict… Form WWWDW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.531%
BTTS39%
Under 2.569%
Wellington … Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Melbourne V… Goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Wellington Pho…
vs
0.89
Melbourne Vict…
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings38%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Wellington …
-6
Gap
#5
Melbourne V…
WR 33% 19 pts WR 33% 23 pts
Wellington Pho… 8.0%
Nov 10 Welling… v Central… 0-3
Nov 02 Welling… v Auckland 0-2
Oct 06 Welling… v Central… 2-1
Sep 17 Welling… v Newcast… 0-1
May 18 Welling… v Melbour… 1-2
May 12 Welling… v Melbour… 0-0
Apr 27 Welling… v Macarth… 3-0
Apr 19 Welling… v Newcast… 1-1
Apr 12 Welling… v Melbour… 1-0
Apr 06 Welling… v Central… 2-1
Melbourne Vict… 18.0%
Nov 09 Melbour… v Brisban… 2-0
Nov 03 Melbour… v Macarth… 2-1
Oct 26 Melbour… v Melbour… 1-3
Oct 18 Melbour… v Central… 0-0
Sep 29 Melbour… v Macarth… 0-1
Sep 21 Melbour… v Adelaid… 1-0
May 25 Melbour… v Central… 3-1
May 18 Melbour… v Welling… 1-2
May 12 Melbour… v Welling… 0-0
May 05 Melbour… v Melbour… 1-1
Head-to-Head (7)
May 18, 2024 Wellington Ph… 1-2 Melbourne Vic…
May 12, 2024 Melbourne Vic… 0-0 Wellington Ph…
Apr 12, 2024 Wellington Ph… 1-0 Melbourne Vic…
Jan 19, 2024 Wellington Ph… 1-1 Melbourne Vic…
Nov 10, 2023 Melbourne Vic… 1-1 Wellington Ph…
Apr 01, 2023 Wellington Ph… 1-2 Melbourne Vic…
Feb 03, 2023 Melbourne Vic… 3-1 Wellington Ph…
Key Factors
Melbourne Victory in strong form (4W in last 5)
Wellington Phoenix struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.