A-League · Feb 14, 2025 08:35

Melbourne Victory
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT

Wellington Phoenix
PWR 35
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Melbourne Victory to win (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (16%) 3-0 (15%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Below minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Melbourne Vict… Form WWLDL
STABLE
Wellington Pho… Form DDWDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.555%
BTTS32%
Under 2.545%
Melbourne V… Goals
0
6%
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
Wellington … Goals
0
66%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.75
Melbourne Vict…
vs
0.42
Wellington Pho…
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings72%
Market50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Melbourne V…
+6
Gap
#11
Wellington …
WR 57% 23 pts WR 29% 19 pts
Melbourne Vict… 10.0%
Feb 01 Melbour… v Perth G… 0-2
Jan 24 Melbour… v Sydney 2-0
Jan 18 Melbour… v Adelaid… 3-2
Jan 04 Melbour… v Western… 2-2
Dec 28 Melbour… v Sydney 3-0
Dec 21 Melbour… v Melbour… 1-1
Dec 08 Melbour… v Perth G… 2-0
Nov 24 Melbour… v Welling… 1-0
Nov 09 Melbour… v Brisban… 2-0
Nov 03 Melbour… v Macarth… 2-1
Wellington Pho… 10.0%
Feb 06 Welling… v Brisban… 1-1
Jan 25 Welling… v Central… 0-0
Jan 20 Welling… v Macarth… 1-2
Jan 15 Welling… v Sydney 0-0
Jan 11 Welling… v Adelaid… 1-2
Jan 03 Welling… v Melbour… 2-0
Dec 28 Welling… v Newcast… 2-1
Dec 14 Welling… v Macarth… 1-2
Dec 07 Welling… v Auckland 2-1
Nov 24 Welling… v Melbour… 1-0
Head-to-Head (8)
Nov 24, 2024 Wellington Ph… 1-0 Melbourne Vic…
May 18, 2024 Wellington Ph… 1-2 Melbourne Vic…
May 12, 2024 Melbourne Vic… 0-0 Wellington Ph…
Apr 12, 2024 Wellington Ph… 1-0 Melbourne Vic…
Jan 19, 2024 Wellington Ph… 1-1 Melbourne Vic…
Nov 10, 2023 Melbourne Vic… 1-1 Wellington Ph…
Apr 01, 2023 Wellington Ph… 1-2 Melbourne Vic…
Feb 03, 2023 Melbourne Vic… 3-1 Wellington Ph…
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.