A-League · Feb 14, 2025 08:35

Melbourne Victory
PWR 35

Wellington Phoenix
PWR 35

Melbourne Victory
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT

Wellington Phoenix
PWR 35
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Melbourne Victory to win (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (16%)
3-0 (15%)
1-0 (12%)
2-1 (7%)
3-1 (6%)
1-1 (5%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Below minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Melbourne Vict… Form
WWLDL
STABLE
Wellington Pho… Form
DDWDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.555%
BTTS32%
Under 2.545%
Melbourne V… Goals
0
6%
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
Wellington … Goals
0
66%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.75
Melbourne Vict…vs
0.42
Wellington Pho…Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings72%
Market50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Melbourne V…+6
Gap#11
Wellington …
WR 57% 23 pts
WR 29% 19 pts
Melbourne Vict…
10.0%
| Feb 01 | Melbour… v Perth G… | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | Melbour… v Sydney | 2-0 |
| Jan 18 | Melbour… v Adelaid… | 3-2 |
| Jan 04 | Melbour… v Western… | 2-2 |
| Dec 28 | Melbour… v Sydney | 3-0 |
| Dec 21 | Melbour… v Melbour… | 1-1 |
| Dec 08 | Melbour… v Perth G… | 2-0 |
| Nov 24 | Melbour… v Welling… | 1-0 |
| Nov 09 | Melbour… v Brisban… | 2-0 |
| Nov 03 | Melbour… v Macarth… | 2-1 |
Wellington Pho…
10.0%
| Feb 06 | Welling… v Brisban… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Welling… v Central… | 0-0 |
| Jan 20 | Welling… v Macarth… | 1-2 |
| Jan 15 | Welling… v Sydney | 0-0 |
| Jan 11 | Welling… v Adelaid… | 1-2 |
| Jan 03 | Welling… v Melbour… | 2-0 |
| Dec 28 | Welling… v Newcast… | 2-1 |
| Dec 14 | Welling… v Macarth… | 1-2 |
| Dec 07 | Welling… v Auckland | 2-1 |
| Nov 24 | Welling… v Melbour… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Nov 24, 2024 | Wellington Ph… | 1-0 | Melbourne Vic… |
| May 18, 2024 | Wellington Ph… | 1-2 | Melbourne Vic… |
| May 12, 2024 | Melbourne Vic… | 0-0 | Wellington Ph… |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Wellington Ph… | 1-0 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Jan 19, 2024 | Wellington Ph… | 1-1 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Nov 10, 2023 | Melbourne Vic… | 1-1 | Wellington Ph… |
| Apr 01, 2023 | Wellington Ph… | 1-2 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Feb 03, 2023 | Melbourne Vic… | 3-1 | Wellington Ph… |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.