AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Dec 20, 2025

Motherwell

Home
VS
15:00

Dundee Utd

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Motherwell Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Dundee Utd Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 71%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 3.07 - 0.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 0.4
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Motherwell Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Dundee Utd Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
69%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (15%) 1-0 (10%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Motherwell Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 13 Motherwell vs Dundee Utd 0-0
Dec 06 Motherwell vs Livingston 3-0
Dec 03 Motherwell vs Falkirk 0-0
Nov 29 Motherwell vs Heart of … 0-0
Nov 25 Motherwell vs Hibernian 2-0
Nov 22 Motherwell vs Kilmarnock 1-3
Nov 09 Motherwell vs Aberdeen 1-1
Nov 01 Motherwell vs St. Mirren 1-4
Oct 29 Motherwell vs Dundee Utd 2-0
Oct 25 Motherwell vs Livingston 1-2
Dundee Utd Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 17 Dundee Utd vs Celtic 2-1
Dec 13 Dundee Utd vs Livingston 2-2
Dec 13 Dundee Utd vs Motherwell 0-0
Dec 06 Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen 1-3
Dec 06 Dundee Utd vs St. Mirren 2-0
Dec 03 Dundee Utd vs Rangers FC 2-2
Nov 29 Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock 1-1
Nov 29 Dundee Utd vs St. Mirren 3-1
Nov 22 Dundee Utd vs Hibernian 2-0
Nov 22 Dundee Utd vs Falkirk 0-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 13, 2025 Dundee Utd 0 - 0 Motherwell Premiership
Oct 29, 2025 Motherwell 2 - 0 Dundee Utd Premiership
Sep 13, 2025 Dundee Utd 1 - 1 Motherwell Premiership
May 03, 2025 Dundee Utd 1 - 2 Motherwell Premiership
Feb 26, 2025 Motherwell 2 - 1 Dundee Utd Premiership
Feb 22, 2025 Dundee Utd 1 - 0 Motherwell Premiership
Dec 14, 2024 Motherwell 4 - 3 Dundee Utd Premiership
Dec 04, 2024 Dundee Utd 4 - 1 Motherwell Premiership
Oct 30, 2024 Dundee Utd 1 - 2 Motherwell Premiership
Oct 19, 2024 Motherwell 0 - 1 Dundee Utd Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Motherwell Power 0
Dundee Utd Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Motherwell Position

+4

Position Gap

8

Dundee Utd Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 17%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.