AI Match Insights

W-League Dec 10, 2022

Sydney FC Women

Home
VS
06:05

Brisbane Roar Women

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Sydney FC Women Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Brisbane Roar Women Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.96 - 0.94
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.9
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sydney FC Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Brisbane Roar Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
39%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
Sydney FC Women Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 03 Sydney FC… vs Western S… 0-1
Nov 26 Sydney FC… vs Melbourne… 2-0
Nov 20 Sydney FC… vs Adelaide … 1-0
Mar 27 Sydney FC… vs Melbourne… 1-2
Mar 11 Sydney FC… vs Melbourne… 4-2
Mar 06 Sydney FC… vs Adelaide … 0-1
Feb 27 Sydney FC… vs Perth Glo… 1-3
Feb 16 Sydney FC… vs Melbourne… 2-2
Feb 13 Sydney FC… vs Newcastle… 0-1
Feb 02 Sydney FC… vs Brisbane … 2-0
Brisbane Roar Women Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 03 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 3-0
Nov 26 Brisbane … vs Canberra … 1-1
Nov 19 Brisbane … vs Newcastle… 2-1
Mar 10 Brisbane … vs Canberra … 3-3
Mar 07 Brisbane … vs Newcastle… 4-0
Mar 04 Brisbane … vs Newcastle… 1-5
Feb 24 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 0-1
Feb 13 Brisbane … vs Adelaide … 2-8
Feb 02 Brisbane … vs Sydney FC… 2-0
Jan 29 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sydney FC Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 02, 2022 Sydney FC Women 2 - 0 Brisbane Roar Women W-League
Feb 14, 2021 Sydney FC Women 1 - 4 Brisbane Roar Women W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sydney FC Women Power 0
Brisbane Roar Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Sydney FC Women Position

-9

Position Gap

2

Brisbane Roar Women Position

Home Win Rate: 29%
Away Win Rate: 57%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.