AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Oct 21, 2023

Brisbane Roar Women

Home
VS
05:00

Sydney FC Women

Away
AI Predictions 44.4% Confidence
Brisbane Roar Women Win
27.0%
Draw
28.6%
Sydney FC Women Win
44.4%
Away Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 73%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.32 - 1.41
Key Insights
Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Brisbane Roar Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Sydney FC Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 1-0 (9%) 1-2 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Brisbane Roar Women Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 15 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 1-2
Mar 26 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 1-1
Mar 19 Brisbane … vs Western S… 3-1
Mar 04 Brisbane … vs Wellingto… 1-1
Feb 11 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 1-1
Feb 05 Brisbane … vs Adelaide … 0-1
Jan 29 Brisbane … vs Wellingto… 3-3
Jan 15 Brisbane … vs Adelaide … 1-1
Dec 31 Brisbane … vs Sydney FC… 1-4
Dec 23 Brisbane … vs Newcastle… 0-2
Sydney FC Women Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 14 Sydney FC… vs Western S… 2-0
Apr 22 Sydney FC… vs Melbourne… 1-0
Apr 01 Sydney FC… vs Newcastle… 4-0
Mar 29 Sydney FC… vs Perth Glo… 4-2
Mar 25 Sydney FC… vs Adelaide … 3-0
Mar 18 Sydney FC… vs Melbourne… 1-1
Mar 11 Sydney FC… vs Wellingto… 0-1
Feb 26 Sydney FC… vs Wellingto… 0-1
Feb 11 Sydney FC… vs Canberra … 2-1
Feb 04 Sydney FC… vs Melbourne… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sydney FC Women in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 31, 2022 Brisbane Roar Women 1 - 4 Sydney FC Women W-League
Dec 10, 2022 Sydney FC Women 4 - 0 Brisbane Roar Women W-League
Feb 02, 2022 Sydney FC Women 2 - 0 Brisbane Roar Women W-League
Feb 14, 2021 Sydney FC Women 1 - 4 Brisbane Roar Women W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Brisbane Roar Women to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Brisbane Roar Women Power 0
Sydney FC Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Brisbane Roar Women Position

+9

Position Gap

11

Sydney FC Women Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.